Searching for correlated parlay

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  • jbrent95
    SBR MVP
    • 12-07-09
    • 1221

    #1
    Searching for correlated parlay
    I know that most bettors guard their correlated parlays like they're one of their children. I'm looking for some help or direction in finding one or more correlated parlays in MLB, NFL, and/or other sports. I fully understand a common CP in college football as described in Conquering Risk, but I would like to find some in other sports. I'm more than willing to do the research and work, and I'm simply looking for some help getting a nudge in the right direction.

    I've put together yearly NFL parlay tables from 2001-2010, and I will start analyzing the data shortly.

    Thanks.
  • jolmscheid
    Restricted User
    • 02-20-10
    • 3256

    #2
    I would love to bet correlated parlays as well, but most reputable books do not even offer this anymore I don't believe....if someone else can chime in though if they know something different, do so by all means!
    Comment
    • jbrent95
      SBR MVP
      • 12-07-09
      • 1221

      #3
      I have a local that allows them for now.
      Comment
      • sharpcat
        Restricted User
        • 12-19-09
        • 4516

        #4
        Get data and test for correlation.

        All kinds of correlated parlays exist its up to you to find them.
        Comment
        • TomG
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-29-07
          • 500

          #5
          do you know the definition of a correlated parlay?

          think about situations where the outcome of one wager depends on the outcome of another wager (i.e., they aren't independent).

          there is no nudge in the right direction beyond that.
          Comment
          • rsigley
            SBR Sharp
            • 02-23-08
            • 304

            #6
            low total + lot of points
            Comment
            • Rich Boy
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-01-09
              • 9714

              #7
              Dont bet on something that you "think" is correlated.

              Track the historical data and see if variable Y is dependant on variable X

              Look up conditional probabilities if you need a math brush-up.
              Comment
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