MLB Projected lines/totals

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  • ebemiss
    Restricted User
    • 05-09-11
    • 364

    #1
    MLB Projected lines/totals
    I've recently added 2011 teams to predict lines and totals for MLB.

    The display will show you a projected money line and game total for that particular game.

    I rank teams overall (an RPI type rating) then factor in the starting pitcher rating (my created ranking), bullpen era, and ball park factor.

    All I ask is if you use it and find any successful patterns (good or bad) over time, post them or pm me. They are just stat based projections, not my opinion.

    I have models for a bunch of different sports. However Don't use the NHL predictor as it hasn't been updated and will be re-designed for next season.

    I've also recently added Arena football, World Club soccer, and international basketball leagues. Take a look if you handicap any of those sports.

    I use them as a starting point or tool in my handicapping. All are based on season long statistics and don't account for hot/cold streaks, injuries, etc...

    I guess I can't post the link to the site so here are today's baseball numbers. (The link is listed in the site/link promotions forum on this site, or pm me I'll get it to you to try).

    I'm looking for help finding patterns and tracking sports. If anyone is interested let me know.

    Away-- St. Louis Cardinals
    Chris Carpenter
    Home-- Cincinnati Reds
    Travis Wood -114


    Projected Game Total 9.2


    Notes:


    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    St. Louis Cardinals

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Cincinnati Reds

    Away-- Florida Marlins
    Javier Vazquez
    Home-- Washington Nationals
    Jason Marquis -112

    Projected Game Total 8.2


    Notes:

    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    Washington Nationals

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Florida Marlins

    Away-- Philadelphia Phillies
    Roy Halladay -120 Home-- Atlanta Braves
    Tim Hudson

    Projected Game Total 7.2


    Notes:


    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    Philadelphia Phillies

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Philadelphia Phillies

    Away-- New York Mets
    Chris Capuano
    Home-- Houston Astros
    Wandy Rodriguez -118

    Projected Game Total 8.2


    Notes:


    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    Houston Astros

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Houston Astros

    Away-- Pittsburgh Pirates
    Kevin Correia
    Home-- Milwaukee Brewers
    Z. Greinke -142


    Projected Game Total 8.1


    Notes:


    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    Milwaukee Brewers

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Pittsburgh Pirates

    Away-- San Francisco Giants
    Tim Lincecum -117 Home-- Chicago Cubs
    Carlos Zambrano


    Projected Game Total 8.1


    Notes:

    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    San Francisco Giants

    Better Bullpen ERA
    San Francisco Giants


    Away-- San Diego Padres
    Mat Latos
    Home-- Colorado Rockies
    Jason Hammel -152


    Projected Game Total 8.8


    Notes:


    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    San Diego Padres

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Colorado Rockies

    Away-- Arizona Diamondbacks
    Ian Kennedy
    Home-- Los Angeles Dodgers
    Ted Lilly -132

    Projected Game Total 7


    Notes:

    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    Arizona Diamondbacks

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Los Angeles Dodgers

    Away-- Seattle Mariners
    Michael Pineda
    Home-- Cleveland Indians
    Josh Tomlin -130

    Projected Game Total 8.1


    Notes:

    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    Seattle Mariners

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Cleveland Indians

    Away-- Kansas City Royals
    Kyle Davies
    Home-- Detroit Tigers
    Max Scherzer -182

    Projected Game Total 8


    Notes:

    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    Detroit Tigers

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Kansas City Royals

    Away-- Baltimore Orioles
    Jake Arrieta
    Home-- Tampa Bay Rays
    Andy Sonnanstine -144


    Projected Game Total 8


    Notes:

    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    Baltimore Orioles

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Tampa Bay Rays

    Away-- Toronto Blue Jays
    Brandon Morrow
    Home-- Minnesota Twins
    Brian Duensing -113


    Projected Game Total 8.2


    Notes:

    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    Minnesota Twins

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Toronto Blue Jays

    Away-- Los Angeles Angels
    Ervin Santana
    Home-- Texas Rangers
    C.J. Wilson -127


    Projected Game Total 9


    Notes:

    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    Texas Rangers

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Los Angeles Angels


    Away-- Chicago White Sox
    Mark Buehrle
    Home-- Oakland Athletics
    Trevor Cahill -147


    Projected Game Total 7.2


    Notes:


    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    Oakland Athletics

    Better Bullpen ERA
    Oakland Athletics

    Away-- Boston Red Sox
    Jon Lester -114 Home-- New York Yankees
    Freddy Garcia


    Projected Game Total 8.7


    Notes:

    xx NSR Better Pitcher
    Boston Red Sox

    Better Bullpen ERA
    New York Yankees
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