OK... I don't know how many of you go into the NBA and other betting forums during the course of the year... but if you didn't... I started a betting system last year that I came up with through a lot of research... These were the results pre-all-star game... and I had to stop due to the demands of my Junior year of College to the chagrin of many people who were following me...
Season (81-61-5) 57%
3 Star Plays (21-9-1) 70%
2 Star Plays (36-33-2) 52%
1 Star Plays (24-19-2) 56%
+35.8 Units
Now I can't divulge too much of the information about how I make my picks... but it has to do with the opening lines... the halftime lines... who is home... who is away... etc. etc... I created a spread sheets with stats based upon the 2007 and 2008 NBA seasons to bet on the 2009 NBA season...
If a play showed 65% or higher in my system I would make it a 3 Star Play... 60-65% would be a 2 Star Play... and 55-60% would be a 1 star play...
Now my questions for the think tank are first of all based on the results from last year would it be more beneficial to bet purely my strongest plays... or should I continue to bet the smaller plays to try to eliminate losses if I have bad nights with my big plays?
Second... is 2 years of compiled stats enough to base a system on... or how many years do I have to go back until I truly find something?
Third... if I start with a $1000 bank roll... how much would u suggest laying on plays? and should I be betting a pure percent of my money on plays... or a set amount?
Lastly what is the percentage of bets you need to win at normal vig to break even... something like 52.38% I think... verification of that would be great though...
Any help or advice for the system or answers to any of these questions would be greatly appreciated... thanks so much and I will be on here to discuss more if I do get some answers...
THANKS!