[djiddish98]

The past couple of days I've been interested in coming up with some "synthetic" positions with regards to betting on baseball - I don't have any background in financials, so this is mostly just running in circles.

I got around to thinking about taking both the -2.5 RL on team A and the 1.5 RL on Team B. This however leaves me wide open if Team A won by exactly 2, and since I can't find a bet of "Team A wins by exactly 2" there's no insurance to cover this.

Granted, I only have accounts at a handful of books (and I haven't looked that hard to find this option) - does anyone know if this type of bet exists? I thought I might have seen something along the lines of this at 5Dimes on a prop for an ESPN game, but I can't recall.

I guess my question is - why isn't this bet more prevalent? We've certainly got quite a bit of options for gambling on MLB (team totals, H+R+E, score first, etc). Why doesn't the "exact win amount" bet exist? If it's because books don't want to offer the insurance I was talking about above, why doesn't a market exist then.

Joe Schmoe can open a book that deals only with "wins exactly by" bets, based on historical odds, MLs, Totals, etc. He can then collect the juice and most likely prosper in the long haul.

I imagine this would be similar to pinnacle's situation with regards to arbs - buy a line simply because it fits with an arb at a slower moving book; you sell the insurance based on some edge at another book that could exist w/ insurance.

Or is this way off?

(Justin - I saw a post you had way back (http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/handicappe...challenge.html) about about an arb challenge, and you mentioned a (hypothetical?) bet at MB for winning exactly by x to fit with the rules of the challenge. This started me on my thinking)

[Wrecktangle]

maybe this is one of those millions of props you get with the world series games?

[Arilou]

Lack of demand, pure and simple. Any proposition/line that depends only on the score is something that can be priced and graded if there is enough volume, but why clutter up your website and distracting your workers for something that will almost never be wagered on? You'd want it, and I'd check it to see if they had the odds right, but if they get them close enough there wouldn't be much action. In the few cases they got a ton, they wouldn't like it.

[djiddish98]

The lack of demand makes sense for not having a market.

However, do websites really attract that much demand for German Handball (apologies if you seriously bet this sport - I'm an ignorant American). I would think having a market for a prop that can be derived easily from readily available information would be easier to operate than a creating / managing a market for an esoteric sport.

[SportsbetTracker]

If I recall, some sites like Pinnacle allows you to tailor your points on a spread. I haven't been on Pinnacle for years, but if I remember one could buy runline points in the same manner.

[byronbb]

bet$3.65 to the rescue

FLA Marlins by 1 run exactly +550 FLA Marlins by 2 runs exactly +550 FLA Marlins by 3 runs exactly +650 FLA Marlins by 4 runs exactly +800 FLA Marlins by 5 runs exactly +1200 FLA Marlins by 6 runs exactly +1800 FLA Marlins by 7 runs or more +800 NY Mets by 1 run exactly +500 NY Mets by 2 runs exactly +550 NY Mets by 3 runs exactly +800 NY Mets by 4 runs exactly +900 NY Mets by 5 runs exactly +1200 NY Mets by 6 runs exactly +2000 NY Mets by 7 runs or more +800

[smitch124]

BoDog usually has this prop

[Pancho sanza]

bet$3.65 to the rescue

FLA Marlins by 1 run exactly +550 FLA Marlins by 2 runs exactly +550 FLA Marlins by 3 runs exactly +650 FLA Marlins by 4 runs exactly +800 FLA Marlins by 5 runs exactly +1200 FLA Marlins by 6 runs exactly +1800 FLA Marlins by 7 runs or more +800 NY Mets by 1 run exactly +500 NY Mets by 2 runs exactly +550 NY Mets by 3 runs exactly +800 NY Mets by 4 runs exactly +900 NY Mets by 5 runs exactly +1200 NY Mets by 6 runs exactly +2000 NY Mets by 7 runs or more +800

If those prices are for todays game, don't even think of betting any of those, total rip off at those odds.