[curious]

Hello,
I am testing a handicapping formula, seems to be working fairly well so far.

It is pretty simple.

Take the delta between the starting pitchers' ERA and divide by the lower of the 2 ERAs then multiply by 100 (to get a per centage).

Something like:
diff%= ((Max(v era - h era)-Min(v era - h era))/Min(v era-h era))*100

Now convert the line to decimal odds for the team with the lower ERA starting pitcher

Now multiply the two numbers.

Take any team that the result is >=1.0.
Today (Sun May 9) for example, the plays would be:
colorado
washington
toronto
cleveland

I would like to back test this and what I am trying to find is stats of the starting pitcher's ERAs as of the game day for all the games for the last three seasons. In other words the data would show the two teams for the game and give the starting ptichers with their ERA as of that day.

[Bsims]

Curious,

I have pitching log files for the years you specified. The file is in comma delimited format. Each line represents the data for a pitcher in every game. You would need to write a program to generate the starting pitchers ERA prior to each game to do what you want, but that would not be difficult. PM me if you are interested.

[curious]

Curious,

I have pitching log files for the years you specified. The file is in comma delimited format. Each line represents the data for a pitcher in every game. You would need to write a program to generate the starting pitchers ERA prior to each game to do what you want, but that would not be difficult. PM me if you are interested.

Hi,
That sounds like it will work. My account is restricted, so I can't PM. My email address is i_bee_curious@yahoo.com

[durito]

http://retrosheet.org/

era is worthless

[ljump12]

I'll put it through my database for your all your points . I imagine it'll come out meh though...

[unusialsusp5]

era for the last 3 starts more relevant.

[mathdotcom]

waste of time