1. #1
    blix177
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    Join Date: 09-20-08
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    Help me understand betting on soccer.

    I pulled this off 5dimes:

    Wed 4/14 814 Odense BK (DEN-S) +171
    12:00PM 815 AaB Aalborg (DEN-S) +179
    816 Draw +233

    So if I convert all 3 lines to odds to win...

    (I converted to odds of winning, by adding the 100/(171+100)

    It would be the following .359, .358, .3
    If you add all 3 numbers up it will be slightly over 1.

    Almost ever single line at 5Dimes I see a number greater than 1 after adding all 3 possibilities.

    Does that mean that somewhere in here there should be +EV, as betting all 3 lines in the long run should generate +EV? Or am I missing something here?

  2. #2
    MrDamon
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    The decimal odds are 2.71, 2.79 & 3.33.

    Only one of these can be a winner.

    If it's the 2.71 then you gain 1.71 and lose 2 on the other 2 bets.
    If it's the 2.79 then you gain 1.79 and lose 2 on the other 2 bets.
    If it's the 3.33 then you gain 2.33 and lose 2 on the other 2 bets.

    If you try to arb it, you will end up loosing about 2.7% of your total staked.

  3. #3
    Domestic
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    When betting on soccer a draw is not a push if the team you selected did not win.

  4. #4
    byronbb
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  5. #5
    skrtelfan
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    Quote Originally Posted by blix177 View Post
    Almost ever single line at 5Dimes I see a number greater than 1 after adding all 3 possibilities.

    Does that mean that somewhere in here there should be +EV, as betting all 3 lines in the long run should generate +EV? Or am I missing something here?
    You have it backwards. The percentages are the percent of the time you would need to win to break even, so anything greater than 1 is -EV for the player and anything below 1 is +EV.

  6. #6
    mizzoujohn
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    If only a draw was a push... welcome to soccer.

  7. #7
    thorntoc
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    It can be. If you prefer a 2-way result just bet draw-no-bet or google 'draw-no-bet calculator' if they don't offer it.

  8. #8
    MarlinsFan2212
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    Well I know this is a bit irrelevant, but my boy Marcus Tracy plays for AAB.

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