1. 03-11-10 08:20 AM #1
    runnershane14
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    Info on Steam/Line Moves

    Say a line moves from -9 to -10 for a nba or ncaab game. If I could still get the -9 at -110 is that value regardless of other stats or reasoning? I've often heard that if you know which way the line was going to move you could be very profitable. This is basically the same thing, you know the line is going to move because it already has. Therefore it would seem profitable if you could still get the -9 in this situation at -110 odds. Just thinking, give me your insights please.
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  2. 03-11-10 08:23 AM #2
    runnershane14
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    Anyone have a R^2 value based on line moves, meaning the line moved from -9 to -10 so does that line move predict -9 would cover?
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  3. 03-11-10 10:27 AM #3
    xyz
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    Use the half point calculator to find out how valuable that one point is going from -9 to -10 for different leagues. It is under SBR tools.
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  4. 03-11-10 10:36 AM #4
    runnershane14
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    The one point is irrevelant. I want to know how predictable is the line move up for covering the favorite open line and the line move down for covering the dog open line.
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  5. 03-11-10 11:13 AM #5
    donjuan
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    The one point is irrevelant.
    Uh, no.
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  6. 03-11-10 11:49 AM #6
    runnershane14
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    Yes the one point is irrevelant to the question I am asking, because I just made up a number for an example. Donjuan, no doubt I realize you may be successful and I understand you have a lot of knowledge but I never see you offer anyone anything more than a short comment that is unhelpful.
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  7. 03-11-10 12:22 PM #7
    Dank_Fire
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    If +10 gets played after the steam then there is real no value....otherwise yes
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  8. 03-11-10 12:51 PM #8
    Peeig
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    Quote Originally Posted by donjuan View Post
    Uh, no.
    This comment is actually immensely helpful
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  9. 03-11-10 01:00 PM #9
    Arilou
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    I always find it interesting when, with no information other than the old price of something, the current market price is not considered the best measure of what the good in question is worth.
    Points Awarded:

    donjuan gave Arilou 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  10. 03-11-10 01:04 PM #10
    runnershane14
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    Quote Originally Posted by Peeig View Post
    This comment is actually immensely helpful
    Yeah I am not retarded, I believe I know that if I think -9 is good value and it goes to -10 I have lost value.
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  11. 03-11-10 05:31 PM #11
    Thremp
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    I'm struggling to understand what exactly you're asking now.
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  12. 03-11-10 06:07 PM #12
    Jaug
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    Quote Originally Posted by runnershane14 View Post
    Yeah I am not retarded, I believe I know that if I think -9 is good value and it goes to -10 I have lost value.
    Wow, this made me confused
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  13. 03-12-10 06:10 PM #13
    GRUMPERZ
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    garbage in garbage out
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  14. 03-13-10 06:48 PM #14
    Peregrine Stoop
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    I don't care what a price/line once was

    I only care about what it is now and if I can get a better price/line
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  15. 03-13-10 07:12 PM #15
    roasthawg
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    Quote Originally Posted by Peregrine Stoop View Post
    I don't care what a price/line once was

    I only care about what it is now and if I can get a better price/line
    Exactly my thoughts on the matter.
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  16. 03-17-10 07:14 AM #16
    Jaug
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    Quote Originally Posted by Peregrine Stoop View Post
    I don't care what a price/line once was

    I only care about what it is now and if I can get a better price/line
    I've been forced to start doing like this as well.

    Got killed with reverse linemove etc. I think you can bet WITH the public and AGAINST reverse linemove in NBA and make serious profit. Something is wrong with that league.
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