So, this is a brain teaser I should be able to figure out, but I am stuck.
thepowerrank.com gives probabilities for each team through the tournament at each round.
But now we know the results of the first round. With that new information, we should be able to update the original probabilities for the second round. Does anyone know the conditional probability formula for this situation?
25 bet points to the first to give me the maths.