1. #1
    turbobets
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    Half point price on team totals

    Trying to estimate value of half points on team totals. Can full game prices be used as a reasonable estimate? Are half points on team totals more valuable, like half versus full game prices?

  2. #2
    Waterstpub87
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    Unfortunately, this would be pretty tough to solve out.

    The correct way to do it would be to get tons of historical data on team totals, and figure out how much a half point would be based on how often they flipped a losing bet to a push or win. The challenge is getting this data.

    Half points are certainly worth more on a team total, likely very significantly. On a team total half, absolutely even more. Hard to say exactly how much though.

    KVB will eventually chime in, and give you a shortcut. See how much heritage or another book will charge you to purchase one. You can get a rough estimate from there.

  3. #3
    turbobets
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waterstpub87 View Post
    See how much heritage or another book will charge you to purchase one. You can get a rough estimate from there.
    Why didn't I think of that?

  4. #4
    Waterstpub87
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    Quote Originally Posted by turbobets View Post
    Why didn't I think of that?
    Not something I intuitively thought of at first. My first step would have been the get all the data step. Because of this, I tend to avoid things like team totals or more exotic stuff. Probably costs me money in the long term, but helps me keep accounts at books.

  5. #5
    TommieGunshot
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    Quote Originally Posted by Waterstpub87 View Post
    See how much heritage or another book will charge you to purchase one. You can get a rough estimate from there.
    This is the correct answer.

    Another way that is a little less good is to just look at first half totals. For basketball the value of a half-point on a team total is very close to the value of a half-point on a first half line. Same is true for football through the same numbers, ie moving on or off 24 is about the same on a first half line as it is a team total. Baseball is a little different because it's five innings to eight or nine. Hockey is a little different because of how common overtime is.
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  6. #6
    golgolgol
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    There is this tool. https://www.sportsbookreview.com/pic...nt-calculator/ not sure if it helps your particular requirement though.

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