1. 04-19-19 10:01 PM #106
    danshan11
    I am good at coin flips, I really am!
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    guy was a fricken flake scammer, he kept telling me pay you tomorrow every day as he lost. once it came to the end he skated out. man, a guys word is worth nothing!
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  2. 04-20-19 08:35 AM #107
    Alfa1234
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    Hey Danshan, would you give that deal to me as well (book any wager on any Pinny line +1 tick)?
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  3. 04-20-19 09:02 AM #108
    danshan11
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    sure as long as it is major market NHL, MLB, NFL, NBA, NCAABB and I dont do props!
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  4. 04-20-19 09:49 AM #109
    Alfa1234
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    Quote Originally Posted by danshan11 View Post
    sure as long as it is major market NHL, MLB, NFL, NBA, NCAABB and I dont do props!
    Was hoping for soccer and the smaller markets actually...
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  5. 04-20-19 10:01 AM #110
    danshan11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Alfa1234 View Post
    Was hoping for soccer and the smaller markets actually...
    yeah brother I only play in the big leagues! I dont mess with womens high school polo.

    we can do UEFA and EPL soccer no problem
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  6. 04-20-19 04:37 PM #111
    Combato
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    The word "value" is tossed around a lot these days, esp on sports gambling forums. Some people use value to mean a play they agree with for whatever reason.

    I always think of value along the following lines:
    1. Value means a Positive Expected Value play
    2. If this play is made 10,000 times, it would show a profit after approx 10,000 plays
    3. Example: If the true odds on a play show it will hit 50% of the time and I can get +120 on the play, then this play has value.
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  7. 04-20-19 04:48 PM #112
    danshan11
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    Quote Originally Posted by Combato View Post
    The word "value" is tossed around a lot these days, esp on sports gambling forums. Some people use value to mean a play they agree with for whatever reason.

    I always think of value along the following lines:
    1. Value means a Positive Expected Value play
    2. If this play is made 10,000 times, it would show a profit after approx 10,000 plays
    3. Example: If the true odds on a play show it will hit 50% of the time and I can get +120 on the play, then this play has value.
    I think most people agree with that method but where we start seeing people fall off their skateboard is what are true odds? For me it is the closing line -vig (that is the closest thing we currently have to estimate true odds)
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  8. 04-20-19 07:24 PM #113
    eaglesfan371
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    Quote Originally Posted by danshan11 View Post
    sure as long as it is major market NHL, MLB, NFL, NBA, NCAABB and I dont do props!
    Smaller markets have the softest lines. If you are able to create models that work, you would have better +EV long term in smaller markets, not the main markets you have just described.

    Edit: Sorry misunderstood, you're only willing to book bets of those leagues, which make sense.
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  9. 04-29-19 03:32 PM #114
    Believe_EMT
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    so no plays today then?
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  10. 06-02-19 11:38 PM #115
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Stallion View Post
    I guess its really over.
    You're not waiting on the +146% rOI?
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