1. #1
    dpark80
    dpark80's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-27-18
    Posts: 36
    Betpoints: 279

    Do you hold on your bet if a key NBA player is a game time decision to play?

    Hey guys,

    Sorry if it's been covered before, but if a key NBA Player like Anthony Davis or Embiid is questionable to play and is a game time decision, do you hold off on your bet until it's been confirmed whether he will play or not? Or do you go ahead and make a bet before the player has been confirmed to be playing?

    I've been burned at least 3 or 4 games this year making a bet and later the player was ruled out and the team I bet on went on to lose ATS.

    I'm curious to see how you guys handle this situation. Thanks!

  2. #2
    danshan11
    I am good at coin flips, I really am!
    danshan11's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-08-17
    Posts: 3,572
    Betpoints: 5035

    dont bet it, if the player is a coin flip, there is no way to analyze the game without knowing, players like Lebron and Davis can move the line 4 5 or 6 depending on the team and opponent. if A big name player is a question mark, he really kinda is not a question mark if the big books have a line out.
    if I model out Pelicans -4 with Davis and the line is Pelicans +2, that is a pretty good indication he wont go.
    I usually ask beaters or at the minimum check here

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