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Could you hit 55% ATS under these circumstances:
1000 plays vs -110 NFL, NCAAF
With access to:
A real time line service.
Tweet deck setup with all the breaking injury news.
20tv monitors with all cable networks.
Subscriptions to all online news sources.
8+ betting out.
----
In my 20's I would have thought its possible.
In my 30's I would have said maybe.
In my 40's I say I dont have the desire or time to devote 12+ hours a day to this battle.
good post and i agree with the age things too.i would need to not work to watch and read everything.
my goal is to retire early and be able to gamble for fun exactly as you said
Anything less than 61% is unacceptable to me.
all plays are equal? and 55% is winning percentage (1000 bets) or expected roi of 5%+ from the whole bankroll?
It’s not worth it because it’s chump change
Lets try 550/450 ATS
The passion is gone.Originally Posted by jjgold
In my 20s and 30s I would’ve been focused too much on school and career and that bullshit. In my 40s I understand how much worse the workforce is than being able to just relax while scrolling and clicking around on screens.
Only a line service and 8+ outs would help you; the other items you listed are worthless.
Long term sports betting success is hard.
You can hit 64%+ with my blessing, it works 2 days a week only.
I would say its possible provided you have a STRONG System/Model wherein you can compare your numbers with Books and follow these 3 situations.
1- Your Number is in close range +-3/4 points to that of Books... Action: SKIP
2. Your number is off by +-3/4 points to that of Books AND it makes no sense to you or General Public... Action: SKIP
3. Your number is off by +-3/4 points to that of Books AND it makes a good sense of acceptance to General Public based on Public's perception of Power Ratings, Matchup on latest win records, previous H2H and whatever else that convinces them that number is right... Action: BET
Do this for at least 100 games and most likely you will find yourself in GREEN ZONE $$$.
Thanks and Cheers
Agree to disagree on that. News sources, useless. 20 monitors useless. The injury thing is not bad. It isn't my thing, but some swear by chasing the steam on NBA injuries. Big player out, get there quicker than the book.
Not my thing, doesn't mean it doesn't work.
u forgot the most important thing
dont care much about these:
Tweet deck setup with all the breaking injury news.
20tv monitors with all cable networks.
Subscriptions to all online news sources.
peaked at 33
I hit 57% last year 37 out of 65 plays and was not even slightly impressed or happy with myself. This year is raw dog leave a load in em time
https://www.sportsbookreview.com/for...otball-p8.html
Need -105 lines football or forget about it
I don’t have the desire anymore. Spot bet some ball games, buy and sell things at the antique mall and invest in silver bullion.
I dont think I could hit .550 for 1000ABs.
BASE got the bettor of me but the college footballs will be flyin soon.
Lets give foot a shot..........................
no
play the variance game. get hot, take a big shot. get out
I like this Archie.
Then what?
i would like the 20 tvs just to be bombarded with sports at once on a saturday and sunday during the fall
How do you member multiple TVs don’t accomplish anything other than not turning the channel you can only watch one thing
I think it would just make you feel more like a professional with all types of monitors, screens, etc.
There is very few, if any, info that you might know that the books don't. Every bit of info is most surely baked into the line and thus gives you no edge.
I would need waayyy more TVs to make that happen.
So as soon as an injury is announced, the lines are instantly updated? At all books? By the people making 18$ an hour at US books?
5 minutes before a game, yes. Night before, no.
Again, not my thing. Some people claim to do this, and it makes sense that there would be some latency between announcement and line update.
Right, you can probably pick of some stale stuff. But damn, seems like a real grind for what you get out of it.
Maybe for the right person.
i never have lost a wager due to late breaking injury how many times the 2nd stringer goes in and outperforms the starter simply because they play all in ....
eons ago when texans first came into nfk they were a huge 14.5 dog to the dolphins well one miami player said to texan player see ya after practice buddy during warmups ........... he immediatley reported to his team and wow they out right beat the dolphins
i won because i saw this a trap game for miami they had the rival bills up next
Your premise is flawed from the start. Bettors that can hit 55%, or close to it, don't bet -110 lines. Reduced juice lines would dramatically increase their profits, so why limit yourself to full juice odds. Also, they don't have a set number of plays in mind, like 1000, instead they just bet the games that they have an edge in.
Well said Hedge,
I was just making some generalizations - pointing out that it is very difficult to do, and as someone said
in the thread the amount of profit/vs the time invested.... is it really even worth the effort.
For some maybe. For some maybe not.
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