Originally Posted by
Rich Boy
Im an edge Kelly bettor and have been using the same system for about 10 years without a losing one.
If you want to win for sure in this business long term forget about "handicapping" and trying to "beat the books". because you likely wont. Instead use sharp books to beat square ones, thats what I do and it works, not every month but over the long haul you will profit, guaranteed.
Use lines from 5dimes and Pinnacle and assume those are closest to the actual win probability than any other opinion either from other books or so called "sharp handicappers". Very few guys will be able to consistently find inefficiencies in the lines those books put out because they are just so sharp and have way more information than you do. Dont try and beat the experts, instead join them. Once you realize that you are already on your way to making money.