Hello,
i am back with another mongo thread. I think it's my third or fouth year of sport betting, luckily for me I never lost much cause I never broke the rule "bet only with the cash you don't need". Like everyone here I had some good runs and some degen plays that costs me big parts of my bankroll.
Now I am sitting here with my bankroll of 0.73$ deciding if it's time to make another reload (15$->50$ like alwais)..
In these 2/3 years of betting I:
-[ALL SPORTS] Used statistics to make big parlay with big payouts --> COMPLETE FAIL
-[SOCCER] Used statistics to predict corners in soccer --> WORKED OK FIRST YEAR THEN I DROPPED IT CAUSE OF ODDS
-[SOCCER] Used a pyhtagorean formula to calculate my own standings and my own model --> STILL IN PAPER TESTING (no time no backtest it cause lack of time and database/programming skills)
-[SOCCER] Tried to fade the plays with most consensus (looking at 4-5 forums everday and fading the most quoted plays)
-[BASKETBALL]Used statistics to predict TOTALS --> COMPLETE FAIL
-[BASKETBALL]Used statistics to predict TOTALS and going the other way--> NEED FURTHER PAPER TESTING
-[HOCKEY] Myself played hockey 9 years from Age of 5 to 14 so I tried to beat Swiss league only by gut feelings --> FAIL
-[SOCCER] Tried to hit 54+% Asian Handicap on soccer single games. --> FAIL
-[TENNIS] Tried statistical betting based on field/h2h/past performance/points to defend/... --> better than soccer but still... FAIL
-[SOCCER] 2/3 favoured teams parlay --> WORKED OK FIRST YEAR THAN SHIT --> FAIL
Luckily for me I don't knows NFL/Baseball/Cricket or horse racing so now I have quiet more money than I should have knowing these 4 sports. I am also sure that I tried many many other methods or approachs that now I don't remember.
Will be interesting to have your opinions regards your approach while betting on sports. I doubt that will be a successfull punter showing us the way but at least we can make a list of things THAT DON'T WORK and try to save some time and money when your/my brain is ready to give you/me the NEXT penetrating FAIL TIP!!!
Sorry for my english it's shit, self learning sucks..