1. #1
    blizzztik
    blizzztik's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-22-14
    Posts: 4

    value of taking less points at a reduced vig?

    Hi everyone. A lot of times I'll run into a situation where I have the choice of taking say a team at +3.5 at -110 or +3 at -103 for example. I've searched online for data on the probability of teams winning/losing by x amount of points etc but I can't find anything.

    I was wondering if anyone knew any sites that have this type of data. You would think the reduced vig in this situation is better since it's like a 7% roi increase, but of course so much depends on the range of outcomes for the scores. I haven't been able to find even a general guideline though of how often that 1/2 point or point comes into play. If anyone could help I'd appreciate it a lot, thanks.

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  3. #3
    blizzztik
    blizzztik's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 12-22-14
    Posts: 4

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Thanks so much! That's exactly what I was looking for, much appreciated!

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