1. 11-15-14 04:47 PM #1
    Dylan
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    NBA statistic-based bettors, when do you start betting?

    Hello all!

    My friend and I were discussing this. He thinks you can start betting as soon as the season starts. I believe you need at least 10 games.

    How many games into the season before you start betting?

    5 games?

    10 games?

    20 games?

    Thanks for reading.
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  2. 11-15-14 05:20 PM #2
    Waterstpub87
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    5 games is my minimum. Volatile results till we get to 12 or so games.
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  3. 11-19-14 11:13 PM #3
    James Marques
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    Not till after December.
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  4. 11-20-14 07:48 AM #4
    antonyp22
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    Interestingly most people find that their data models tend to lose profitability after December
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  5. 11-25-14 04:59 PM #5
    RedDevil1974
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    The best time to bet any sport is in the first few weeks/games of a season. Its when the lines are the weakest, no one has seen the teams and they havent dropped to any middle ground where stats can be used with any definite numbers.

    Just imo of course.

    NFL lines tend to get really solid from weeks 4-5 onwards and NBA from about 15-20 games onwards.
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  6. 12-22-14 07:52 AM #6
    blizzztik
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    Agreed the lines are capped pretty poorly early on since there's no data for the season yet. It's best to bet asap assuming you're a good nba capper. If you're just following picks etc you'll run into the same problem the books do since there isn't a big sample size of data.
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  7. 12-23-14 10:13 AM #7
    a4u2fear
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    if you want to compare it to the NHL, I start after each NHL team has played a certain amount of games on the road AND home.

    What you should do is create your lines using statistics, and see when they become profitable. Start estimating scores after 1 home and 1 away game, then after the entire season is calculated, go back and find out where you start getting close and winning.
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  8. 12-23-14 01:17 PM #8
    KVB
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    Excellent point Fear...It might change a sample size, but sepearating home and road is essential when making a line.
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