[Ominous]

Edit: Should have been to win division
Anyhow they took the odds down, shoulda played it this morning

This seems like value to me, I mean as far as I understand CIN has just about won its division.

Either PIT or BAL needs to go 4-0 and CIN needs to do 0-4 if CIN is to lose conference, right?

CIN has MIN, SD, KC, NYJ left, of which they will be dogs to MIN and SD but heavy fav to KC and probably fav to NYJ. Just assuming 50% winrate gives 6.25% of 0-4.

Baltimore has DET, CHI, PIT, OAK which is a little bit disturbingly easy... but still they should be about EQ vs PIT even if they are fav vs the rest.

PIT has CLE GB BAL and MIA.

What do you guys think? CIN has the worst schedule maybe but is there good value in this odds? If all games would have 50% winrate then its 0.8% that the play will lose = heavy value. I guess PIT and BAL has quite easy schudles but CIN should be able to pull off one win?

[Ominous]

If CIN would have 25% vs Min and SD, 85% vs KC and 60% vs NYJ its only 3,4% for 0-4. Are these numbers realistic?