I have spent the last 3 years modeling... in different fashions NCAAF, NCAAB, NFL,NBA and MLB. The only model that has worked has been NCAAB. But NCAAF is working... Everyone talks that I am using backtested data... which is true... but each Year I start the slate clean... Which means, I don't care who was on the team last year. I only look at this years data based on the same parameters that worked over the course of the last 3 years. So this season, I knew I had to wait until week 5 to get real data... and I did...I hit 57.1% which I know isn't a huge number but... I hit it and in the past the data shows 64%+ for the previous 3 years. I know that it is unfair to say that, but now I have at least one week of being right with the same parameters that I used for the previous 3 years. When do I get to determine success. I made 1.1K this past weekend, betting with a minimal bankroll. NFL went 9-6 and I didn't even bet it... because it was Week 4. Enjoy Dave...