You have no clue what + and - even really is
It is not a term you use when you feel good about a bet
Its a mathematical concept, more specifically a statistics concept
Ive taken stats, you guys clearly are using it wrong
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09-24-13 11:39 AM #1
Guys QUIT using +\- EV in your posts
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09-24-13 11:43 AM #2
i thought +even meant you liked something.
like zeta psi said hot sandwhiches are +even
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09-24-13 11:44 AM #3
I started with a $1000 bankroll 3 weeks ago and now I have a $3500 bankroll. 99% of my bets were -EV.
Does it matter when I request a check for $2500 today?
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09-24-13 11:45 AM #4
ain't nobody that regularly posts on sbr even remotely aware of how to determine if a bet has a positive or negative expected value
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09-24-13 11:47 AM #5
Durito taught me how to calculate my edge and expected value
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09-24-13 11:50 AM #6
Originally Posted by chilidog
+1
Most just parrot shitt they think sounds Sharp (no names)
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09-24-13 11:55 AM #7
Don't see him around anywhere quite as much but that guy was very intelligent concerning sports wagering. Originally Posted by Chi_archie
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09-24-13 11:56 AM #8
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09-24-13 12:16 PM #9
Archie you're a chosen one. Doritos is sharp.
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09-24-13 12:23 PM #10
Kraker I am guilty of this. Was 1/2 blood and 1/2 alcohol the whole year I took advaned stats in college.
I will pledge to not use the word ev ever again here.
Kraker thanks for the bitchslap.
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09-24-13 12:32 PM #11
Kracker great post
You have a clue
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09-24-13 12:33 PM #12
Every Tom, Dick, and Harry with a bachelors degree has taken stats. That being said kraker is correct.
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09-24-13 12:59 PM #13
nope not me. i didnt have to take a single math class Originally Posted by Deuce
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09-24-13 01:08 PM #14
No stats geek here and I just think in terms of implied probability. Look at the implied probability of a line and if I think there is a good reason to believe the actual probability is higher I consider the bet. Then look at/think about why this might be the case: ie. trap, public side or non public side, some key factor being overvalued or undervalued. If it looks like there is an edge I will make a big bet.
When I feel like playing a gut feeling, I really like this bet type of play I play for "entertainment purposes only" amount.
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09-24-13 01:10 PM #15
Those clueless people are the same people who think that they don't pay juice when they play +100 or better odds Originally Posted by The Kraken
But gotta love it when an idiot thinks he is being a smart ass when he uses +/- even incorrectly.
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09-24-13 01:15 PM #16
Si Originally Posted by The Kraken
since you are the statistical police, let me ask you;
Is it OK if I use the term 'bell curve' in my posts? how about 'revert to the mean?'
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09-24-13 01:17 PM #17
As Brock Landers once said... "It Isn't Juice If You Win" So This would be a +EV statement.
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09-24-13 01:18 PM #18
What exactly did we accomplish here?
This thread is -EV
Fishhead in 3.2.1...Last edited by Louisvillekid1; 09-24-13 at 01:24 PM.
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09-24-13 01:21 PM #19
Never bet Fav over -130 . +EV
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09-24-13 01:24 PM #20
Take it even further Sammy...don't bet nothing over -110 Originally Posted by Sam Odom
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09-24-13 01:31 PM #21
Sammy lets go further, always plus $ wagers
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09-24-13 01:34 PM #22
This. Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1
Sammy lets go further, always plus $ wagers
50% @Avg wager of 130 is more profitable than 60% @-110
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09-24-13 01:51 PM #23
Originally Posted by Louisvillekid1
Sammy lets go further, always plus $ wagers
No Juice = +EV
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09-24-13 01:57 PM #24
Rookies on this thread
If market price is at most books
Yanks -175
Toronto +165
Some rare book has
Yanks -158
foronto +148
Do you bet yanks at -158?Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Professor1215
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09-24-13 02:03 PM #25
You bet bluejays @ 165 Originally Posted by jjgold
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09-24-13 02:03 PM #26
if that rare book is pinnacle you take Toronto Originally Posted by jjgold
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09-24-13 02:04 PM #27
I like using these terms in arbitrary ways that have nothing to do with math.
Misuse, probably. Misunderstood, absolutely. Misguided, never.
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09-24-13 02:05 PM #28
Big Bear your sharp
Points Awarded:
Big Bear gave jjgold 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
Nomination(s):This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: Big Bear
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09-24-13 02:05 PM #29
Ev != even Originally Posted by The Kraken
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09-24-13 02:07 PM #30
It means take anything. + money
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09-24-13 02:10 PM #31
Originally Posted by jjgold
Sammy would have NYY -125
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09-24-13 02:26 PM #32
It is -EV to place parlays, teasers, and get worst price.
I could go into statistics but would take too long.
It is -EV to bet at 10% juice unless you can hit 53%. Simple
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09-24-13 02:29 PM #33
Deemer , plenty of Sharps bet 3-team parlays
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09-24-13 02:57 PM #34
Ain't a fukkin thing discussed here matters one stikky shit if you can't handicap a game right unless you have a very, very, very large bankroll.
See a lot of guys batting the fukk out of their calculator for 4 bucks and change.
Most fukks in here just talkin about it because they feel like they matter.
They don't
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09-24-13 02:59 PM #35
Guys if you take Detroit +2.5 +105 that is +EV
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