Hey all, I have a few questions regarding NFL teasers that I would appreciate some help on. I know Justin7, LT Profits, hedgehog, and others seem to be knowledgeable about teasers from what I have researched.
1) Most know of basic strategy/"wong" teasers. Now, many books shade their lines against these, but just for the sake of argument, is it EVER a good idea to tease "wong" leg and take the other side ATS? For example, say a book is offering -7 early in the week, while other books (Pinnacle, 5 Dimes, etc.) have their lines at -7 or -7.5. Let's say one would tease the -7 down to -1, and if the favorite moved to -8+ later on in the week, would it be "smart" to play the dog then at +8 or better? I have a feeling that the answer is no, but I can't quite wrap my head around how I would determine if doing so would be +EV longterm.
2) I understand that a 4-team (6 point) teaser at +300 odds is more "valuable" than a 2-team teaser at -110 odds, as the breakeven needed per leg is less for a 4-teamer at +300. My question is, if a 3-team teaser is +165 odds, is it a "bad move" to do 4-teamers at +300 instead of two teamers at -110 as a push would reduce the 4-team teaser to a 3-teamer at +165, when the odds should be +180.
3) Finally, if ties on a 4-team teaser reduce to a 3-team/2-team teaser, would taking a -7 favorite be -EV because doing so would cause a "push" thus reducing the 4-team teaser?
Look forward to the help.