I have a 3 team future bet I had placed preseason. I have hit 2/3. The only remaining one is Minnesotta Vikings Under 6.5 wins.
the bet is 3k to win 5.8k
they are at 6 wins right now and their schedule and the estimated ML for minny is as listed.
vs Bears +130
@ St.Louis +135
@houston +380
vs GB +230
there are a few scenarios I'm considering. First is to let it ride and don't hedge at all which I don't want to do.
second is letting it ride this week and start hedging with the rams game and hedge last 3 games
or start hedging this week and bet them all 4 games straight.
and finally bet them this week and next skip the houston game bet them again last game. However I just realized Houston might guarantee first place by this game and they might rest starters so even though I was considering doing this at first Its very likely that they may rest starters and Foster might get limited carries as well as the offense not playing parts of 2nd half etc.
I have never faced such a situation and I'm not sure what to do here. I would like to at least make some profit in this situation and would really appreciate help. on a 3 or 4 game hedge how much should I be betting each game to maximize my profit? I have only done single game hedges before and I am clueless on how to calculate this. Any input will be highly appreciated.