Fair price

[Jship07]

Any know how to calculate run projections into odds. Say team a is projected to score 4.8 and team b is projected to score 4.2. what would a fair price be in mlb?

[Optional]

Maybe I am over simplifying it but if you have run projections can't you just imply the 4.8 team has 53.33% probability of winning and convert that to no-vig odds of -114/+114 ?

[Waterstpub87]

Team A: 4.8^2/(4.8^2 + 4.2^2) = ~23/40.64=~57%

[turbobets]

Pythagorean Theorem of Baseball