Hi everyone. A lot of times I'll run into a situation where I have the choice of taking say a team at +3.5 at -110 or +3 at -103 for example. I've searched online for data on the probability of teams winning/losing by x amount of points etc but I can't find anything.
I was wondering if anyone knew any sites that have this type of data. You would think the reduced vig in this situation is better since it's like a 7% roi increase, but of course so much depends on the range of outcomes for the scores. I haven't been able to find even a general guideline though of how often that 1/2 point or point comes into play. If anyone could help I'd appreciate it a lot, thanks.
I was wondering if anyone knew any sites that have this type of data. You would think the reduced vig in this situation is better since it's like a 7% roi increase, but of course so much depends on the range of outcomes for the scores. I haven't been able to find even a general guideline though of how often that 1/2 point or point comes into play. If anyone could help I'd appreciate it a lot, thanks.
