Without claiming any special handicapping insights, I am in the fortunate position of holding a Superbowl Futures Bet on the Arizona Cardinals with a potential payoff of $12,700. Using a simple Mark to Market analysis [Yao (2007) pp 64-68], I reckon I have a current market exposure of approximately $1,900. In addition, by hedging on opponents, I can guarantee a minimum payout of approximately $3,000.
In this context, I would appreciate any advice on how to maximize my position or, if such a discussion is inappropriate, then any generic advice on marking to market and hedging futures bets would suffice.
I appreciate that for many of you professionals this is not a particularly large position to hold, but for me and other neophytes it is. When we get lucky it would be nice to know how best to handle it.
Apologies in advance if this posting breaks any forum rules.
Please advise?
matekus