Noob lesson (half-points v. money)

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  • trendon
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-06-10
    • 534

    #1
    Noob lesson (half-points v. money)
    Simply put, which is better value:

    +13.5 at -105 or +14 at -115

    Is the half point worth ten cents?
  • tto827
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-01-12
    • 9078

    #2
    What sport? Semi-important detail missing.

    There are some half-point calcs, such as SBR's but they aren't entirely accurate.

    It's usually safe to say that if a book lets you buy points at a given price, it usually isn't to your advantage.
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    • easyliving
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 06-25-12
      • 8876

      #3
      what sport? if its football its definitely worth the 10 cents
      Comment
      • trendon
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 12-06-10
        • 534

        #4
        LOL, sorry. Football.
        Comment
        • trendon
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 12-06-10
          • 534

          #5
          Originally posted by tto827
          What sport? Semi-important detail missing.

          There are some half-point calcs, such as SBR's but they aren't entirely accurate.

          It's usually safe to say that if a book lets you buy points at a given price, it usually isn't to your advantage.
          Well, more of a case of I have three places to play. Two are showing 13.5 at -105 while Bovada, as usual, is shaded towards the dog. It just got me to thinking about how much a half-point is worth on the lesser numbers like 10, 14, 17, 21, etc.

          Personally - and unless you have some other math that I'd love to hear - I find it is only smart to buy into a push on the three, never off of it.
          Comment
          • tto827
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-01-12
            • 9078

            #6
            Originally posted by trendon
            Well, more of a case of I have three places to play. Two are showing 13.5 at -105 while Bovada, as usual, is shaded towards the dog. It just got me to thinking about how much a half-point is worth on the lesser numbers like 10, 14, 17, 21, etc.

            Personally - and unless you have some other math that I'd love to hear - I find it is only smart to buy into a push on the three, never off of it.
            Couldn't tell from your post if I was responding to a typical SBR poster or someone with a bit of a clue. Obviously you have a bit of a clue.

            If you search hard enough, you can probably find/create NFL push charts, which is really the only way to know.
            Comment
            • mikejamm
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 08-24-09
              • 11045

              #7
              The fuk'in hook will get you every time. Buy the 1/2 point.
              Comment
              • swordsandtequila
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 02-23-12
                • 9757

                #8
                Guide to betting the NFL based on 3,200+ games played since 2006, for intermediate and advanced players. Give yourself data for your best shot!


                Towards bottom of page, can't vouch for its accuracy.
                Comment
                • trendon
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 12-06-10
                  • 534

                  #9
                  Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                  http://wizardofodds.com/games/sports-betting/nfl/

                  Towards bottom of page, can't vouch for its accuracy.
                  Oh, thanks for that. What's funny about this fair price chart is that you generally get a "fair price" for coming on/off the three (20 cents) but, if you look at all of the other numbers, books mark up the hell out of it. In my example, I shouldn't pay more than 5.7 cents but I was deciding between ten cents.

                  It's the sportsbook version of a loss leader! "Here, enjoy market price on the three but we're going to gauge you on every other number available and you won't even notice." lol
                  Comment
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