1. #1
    eyeball
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    Beating the Closing line last night?

    I had Central Florida +3, the line closed at +2


    Still lost my ass as usual...not even close......does this really work?

  2. #2
    LT Profits
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    Not even close? UCF outgained them and lost because of turnovers an a punt return. But to answer your question, yes you will win long term if you keep beating efficient closers. I am assuming you got +3 at -110ish.

  3. #3
    Duff85
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    This closer stuff is bs. Just seek out Brahmabull, dude is like 27-2 on posted plays, sharpest fukkkk on sbr... seek him out and parlay his picks, print moneyz! easy game.

    Fukkk math.

    I beat the closer on six soccer games tonight (obviously a valid sample)... i'm 0-6... trust me Brahma will steer you right.
    Last edited by Duff85; 09-24-11 at 09:51 AM.

  4. #4
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Duff85 View Post
    This closer stuff is bs. Just seek out Brahmabull, dude is like 27-2 on posted plays, sharpest fukkkk on sbr... seek him out and parlay his picks, print moneyz! easy game.

    Fukkk math.

    I beat the closer on six soccer games tonight (obviously a valid sample)... i'm 0-6... trust me Brahma will steer you right.
    [/sarcasm]

  5. #5
    Romanov
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    Quote Originally Posted by eyeball View Post
    I had Central Florida +3, the line closed at +2 Still lost my ass as usual...not even close......does this really work?
    If you think you can beat the lines more often than not, make your plays as soon as possible. Don't wait until gameday. Watch out though, you can be had, like I did today. I took Kentucky +18 thinking it would go to 17 but its up to 19.5.

  6. #6
    eyeball
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Not even close? UCF outgained them and lost because of turnovers an a punt return. But to answer your question, yes you will win long term if you keep beating efficient closers. I am assuming you got +3 at -110ish.

    Yes I had -110, I agree with you..LONG TERM is the key


    LONG TERM does not equal one game

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eyeball View Post
    Yes I had -110, I agree with you..LONG TERM is the key


    LONG TERM does not equal one game
    Right, so why ask the question?

  8. #8
    d2bets
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    It's one game, dude. If you have to ask this question, you haven't a clue. Even if you had a good edge, you realize you still had a 45-48% chance to lose.

  9. #9
    Peregrine Stoop
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    Quote Originally Posted by eyeball View Post
    I had Central Florida +3, the line closed at +2 Still lost my ass as usual...not even close......does this really work?
    do you believe tens of thousands wagering millions are smarter than one dude?

  10. #10
    eyeball
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    Quote Originally Posted by Peregrine Stoop View Post
    do you believe tens of thousands wagering millions are smarter than one dude?

    ok I got it the first time... that will be my last post here on SBR

  11. #11
    TryingMyBest
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    6 cents to buy at the 2, 13 to buy on the 3. Looks like you paid -110 for a ticket with a true value of -119.

  12. #12
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by TryingMyBest View Post
    6 cents to buy at the 2, 13 to buy on the 3. Looks like you paid -110 for a ticket with a true value of -119.
    More like true value of -132. From +2 to +2.5 is only 4 cents, but 2.5 to 3 is 18 cents.

  13. #13
    Duff85
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    Quote Originally Posted by eyeball View Post


    ok I got it the first time... that will be my last post here on SBR
    This is why I wouldn't have given this clown the help. The fact he is not intelligent enough to test things for himself and wants things given to him on a platter... some sharp posters have chipped in to help in this thread and that's how he reacts. What a turd.

  14. #14
    goblue12
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    Try betting more than just 6 soccer matches.

    You should be able to find at least 25 plays on any given Saturday.

  15. #15
    TryingMyBest
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    More like true value of -132. From +2 to +2.5 is only 4 cents, but 2.5 to 3 is 18 cents.
    For the 3 price I was referencing Justin's book. Also, a -110 ticket has a true value of +100. So using your numbers, -122

  16. #16
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by TryingMyBest View Post
    For the 3 price I was referencing Justin's book. Also, a -110 ticket has a true value of +100. So using your numbers, -122
    My bad, I forgot to convert to no-vig, which at -132/+112 is actually -120.6.

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