Originally Posted by
darkghost
FWIW In the long run 2-team parlays and straight bets (@ -110) are about the same proposition. Let's say you're making a $100 2-team parlay that pays $260. Ruling out ties you have 4 outcomes:
Team A loses; Team B wins: you lose $100
Team B loses; Team A wins: you lose $100
Both teams lose: you lose $100
Both teams win: you win $260
So in 3 cases you lose $300 and in 1 case you win $260 for a net loss of $40.
So if you average this $40 for the 4 cases you're losing $10 for every $100 parlay you make.
Instead of a parlay let's say you're making a $100 wager on the 2 teams instead.
Team A loses; Team B wins: you lose $10
Team B loses; Team A wins: you lose $10
Both teams lose: you lose $220
Both teams win: you win $200
So your net losses for the four results are $40. Again divide this by four and your average loss is $10 (which is a no-brainer since you expect to win 1 and lose 1 and lose the $10 juice) which is the same as making a $100 parlay.
As for teasers, they are more complicated since you need data on how many times those 6 pts come into play but anyone who's bet on sports long enough know teasers are bad news and a quick way to burn your money.