1. #1
    `User
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    Join Date: 07-26-11
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    Question . Need help

    Hi guys . as i am new here .
    I would like to ask something from you guys
    can Poissoned calculation predict soccer goals ?
    which means having the % of chance to have goals in FH or FT ?

    Anyone to guide me ?

  2. #2
    Justin7
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    It can to a degree. If you know the game total for full time, you can make an estimate of the total on the first half. In the leagues I have looked at (World Cup and UEFA tournaments), considerably less than half of the goals are scored in the first half. The odds of a goal being scored in live betting are usually higher when either team is leading, and lower when tied at 0-0 or 1-1.

    I'd suggest that you pick one league, and start looking at scoring by half... and compare it to the game total.

  3. #3
    durito
    escarabajo negro
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    Quote Originally Posted by Justin7 View Post
    It can to a degree. If you know the game total for full time, you can make an estimate of the total on the first half. In the leagues I have looked at (World Cup and UEFA tournaments), considerably less than half of the goals are scored in the first half. The odds of a goal being scored in live betting are usually higher when either team is leading, and lower when tied at 0-0 or 1-1.

    I'd suggest that you pick one league, and start looking at scoring by half... and compare it to the game total.
    I suggest you read the question.

  4. #4
    `User
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    Thanks justin . I will take note of it and start doing some research .
    btw , I am from asia .
    There is some cool stuff in asia betting .
    There's one guy in betting i knew .
    He look at live odds movement and can decide which match will have goals .
    I did record his daily record of picks shared .
    He will win overall in a day . atleast 10 wins and hitting on 2-3 loss .
    He once hit a 28-0 stats for the day . Just basically reading the odds only .
    He bet all the leagues . from brazil league - to those unknown leagues .

    Do you guys really believe that odds movement can judge everything ?

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