Originally Posted by
metaldome
I really want to try tracking this and think it could be good but I have two major problems I would appreciate you help on...
1) All of the sites that show percentages of bets on either side have completely different data. One says 64%, a play, the other says 56%, a non play. (for example sports insights & sportsbookspy). Besides this, all the sportsbooks have different lines.
2) Then, even if I just picked one site to follow, it would be great if every line was -110 but it usually isnt, and I am not sure exactly how to follow the lines/juice, for example it is easy if it is (random made up example)...
65% on Giants +4 -107 @ Philadelphia, moves to Giants +5 -108, obviously then the play should be Philadelphia -5.
...but what if it is...
65% on Giants +4 -107 @ Philadelphia, moves to Giants +5 -119, what do you do then? How do you attribute the lines to the juice in these situations since it seems to happen almost everytime?
...or what if it is...
65% on Giants +4 -107 @ Philadelphia, line stays at +4 but the juice moves from -107 to +112, what do you do then?
If I were to only play games with 60% or more on one side but where the line moved at least a point in the wrong direction without the juice also changing a lot, I think there might be two plays a week between all sports and that seems sort of pointless to even follow, please help!!! Thanks.