I'm hitting 63% of my bets this year. I bet Kelly at 55% expected win percentage. My question is am I losing a lot of money by not estimating my win % to be higher than 55%? My stakes are about 1/4 of kelly at 63%. For the sake of this discussion let's forget the fact that most people believe 63% to be an unattainable long term win % in sports gambling. This is a theoretical question only. Thanks.