Would it be correct for me to assume that Overs hit at a higher rate than unders in 1st 5 innings?
My thoughts is this. Say a total for a game is 8.5. The total for the 1st 5 innings will probably be 4.5 or so. If its a high total like 10, most likely its giong to be a 5.5. If its real low like 6.5 , it would be 3.5 with lot of juice on the under.
To the people that likes an OVER in a baseball game, isn't it a MUCH MUCH BETTER BET to take the OVER for the 1st 5 innings? The thing is rarely do i see a game where it goes 1-1 after 5 innings and thus under for 1st 5 innings and then they score 7+ runs the last 4 innings to push a total of say a 8.5 over. And i think there has been many times where a game has went 3-2 or 4-2 after 5 innings only for it to hit over for 1st 5 innings and then it stayed under for the full game.
I mean, if you like an OVER, isn't taking the 1st 5 innings over a much better bet? If they score less then 4 runs in 5 innings of a total of say 9.5 or 10, chances are really bad that the game will go over. However, even if 2 teams score say 6 runs after 5 innings to hit the OVER for 1st 5 innings, i definitely see the chance of an UNDER hitting and then no more scoring occurs.
I am curious as to what is the record if you take overs for the 1st 5 innings? I feel like if a total is high, like 9.5 and up, taking OVER for the 1st 5 innings is such a better bet than taking it for the full game because i seen many games where they score 6-7 runs after 5 innings but then score only 2 runs or less to finish the game. But if these 2 teams don't even hit 6 runs after 1st 5 innings, the bet just looks really bad because you need some late rally and those things don't come often enough.
Thoughts on this? My thinking is there is much more scoring in the 1st 5 innings and taking an under is really bad for 1st 5 innings.
I know some books have totals where say its -120 for over 4.5 and you can take +100 for over 5 for the 1st 5 innings.
I see so many games where 1st 5 innings it went over, but from 6th inning on, both teams don't score anymore unless there is some late rally.