1. #1
    HauntingTheHoly
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    Join Date: 04-28-10
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    Prop: Final Four "Overtime" lines

    Found a prop that reminded me of one Justin likes before the super bowl: "Will either final four game go into overtime?" Instinctively, I want "No" but the line is -450. I know that in the NFL a fair price for one overtime game is -1100. Here we have *two* games (chances for an overtime), and both games with a line under 3 points. Opinions on how to calculate?

  2. #2
    ForgetWallStreet
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    Join Date: 04-27-07
    Posts: 342

    Quote Originally Posted by HauntingTheHoly View Post
    Found a prop that reminded me of one Justin likes before the super bowl: "Will either final four game go into overtime?" Instinctively, I want "No" but the line is -450. I know that in the NFL a fair price for one overtime game is -1100. Here we have *two* games (chances for an overtime), and both games with a line under 3 points. Opinions on how to calculate?
    Start by using a DB to investigate how often games with similar spreads have gone to OT in the past.

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