I wagered $500 to win $125K on the Oakland A's to win the AL West @ 250-1 at the All Star break (at an A+ rated book).
The A's are 2 games back of the Texas Rangers with 3 to go and the 2 teams start a 3 game series against each other in Oakland starting tonight thru Wednesday.
In order to win the wager, I need the A's to sweep the Rangers.
The Rangers are priced around +130 tonight for Game 1.
Tomorrow, I am expecting the Rangers to be around -140 favorites as the A's are expected to start Travis Blackley (5-4) against the Rangers Matt Harrison (18-10) and Harrison was priced at -200 last week when they faced each other in Texas.
For the final game of the series, the A's are sending A.J. Griffin with a record of 7-1 against the Rangers Ryan Dempster with a record of 12-8 so I'm estimating that the A's will be around -130/-140 for the final game (assuming they win the first 2).
What amounts would anyone recommend that I place on Game 1 tonight assuming all of the above?
While the $125K is a huge win, its not life changing by any stretch for me even though it might be for others.
I'm not necessarily looking to try and scalp out $20K-$30K on this but to sit back and have $125K riding on it without hedging anything doesn't seem practical.
Any advice would be greatly appreciated. Thanks in advance.
The A's are 2 games back of the Texas Rangers with 3 to go and the 2 teams start a 3 game series against each other in Oakland starting tonight thru Wednesday.
In order to win the wager, I need the A's to sweep the Rangers.
The Rangers are priced around +130 tonight for Game 1.
Tomorrow, I am expecting the Rangers to be around -140 favorites as the A's are expected to start Travis Blackley (5-4) against the Rangers Matt Harrison (18-10) and Harrison was priced at -200 last week when they faced each other in Texas.
For the final game of the series, the A's are sending A.J. Griffin with a record of 7-1 against the Rangers Ryan Dempster with a record of 12-8 so I'm estimating that the A's will be around -130/-140 for the final game (assuming they win the first 2).
What amounts would anyone recommend that I place on Game 1 tonight assuming all of the above?
While the $125K is a huge win, its not life changing by any stretch for me even though it might be for others.
I'm not necessarily looking to try and scalp out $20K-$30K on this but to sit back and have $125K riding on it without hedging anything doesn't seem practical.
Any advice would be greatly appreciated. Thanks in advance.