Advice needed on best way to deal with a potential 6 figure win

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  • andywend
    SBR MVP
    • 05-20-07
    • 4805

    #1
    Advice needed on best way to deal with a potential 6 figure win
    I wagered $500 to win $125K on the Oakland A's to win the AL West @ 250-1 at the All Star break (at an A+ rated book).

    The A's are 2 games back of the Texas Rangers with 3 to go and the 2 teams start a 3 game series against each other in Oakland starting tonight thru Wednesday.

    In order to win the wager, I need the A's to sweep the Rangers.

    The Rangers are priced around +130 tonight for Game 1.

    Tomorrow, I am expecting the Rangers to be around -140 favorites as the A's are expected to start Travis Blackley (5-4) against the Rangers Matt Harrison (18-10) and Harrison was priced at -200 last week when they faced each other in Texas.

    For the final game of the series, the A's are sending A.J. Griffin with a record of 7-1 against the Rangers Ryan Dempster with a record of 12-8 so I'm estimating that the A's will be around -130/-140 for the final game (assuming they win the first 2).

    What amounts would anyone recommend that I place on Game 1 tonight assuming all of the above?

    While the $125K is a huge win, its not life changing by any stretch for me even though it might be for others.

    I'm not necessarily looking to try and scalp out $20K-$30K on this but to sit back and have $125K riding on it without hedging anything doesn't seem practical.

    Any advice would be greatly appreciated. Thanks in advance.
  • hutennis
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-11-10
    • 847

    #2
    So, how much are you trying to scalp out?
    Comment
    • andywend
      SBR MVP
      • 05-20-07
      • 4805

      #3
      I guess I really need to decide on that before asking for the advice. Thanks.
      Comment
      • durito
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 07-03-06
        • 13173

        #4
        You probably should have posted this under another name if you wanted help here.
        Comment
        • andywend
          SBR MVP
          • 05-20-07
          • 4805

          #5
          Durito, whatever advice you would offer, I would do exactly the opposite as you lose with amazing consistency.

          You're a born loser and will never find yourself in a situation like this, that I am quite sure.
          Comment
          • durito
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 07-03-06
            • 13173

            #6
            I would compute the proper kelly stake for my bankroll. Why dont you just do that? The opposite would be to tear up your ticket i suppose.

            You are right, I lost quite a bit more than $125k last month.
            Comment
            • Bigbill365
              SBR MVP
              • 06-22-12
              • 4572

              #7
              dude you put what ever money you can find and sell your car put it on the texas to win the devision so now you have guranteed profit
              Comment
              • Ra77er
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 06-20-11
                • 10969

                #8
                If its not a life changing amount then let it ride imho
                Comment
                • kmarinouofm
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 8437

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Bigbill365
                  dude you put what ever money you can find and sell your car put it on the texas to win the devision so now you have guranteed profit
                  who is even selling this ? and what is the price ? also usually limits like this are kinda low no ? seems like a hard bet to find and to even make some loot on ...
                  Comment
                  • Bigbill365
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-22-12
                    • 4572

                    #10
                    Originally posted by kmarinouofm
                    who is even selling this ? and what is the price ? also usually limits like this are kinda low no ? seems like a hard bet to find and to even make some loot on ...
                    true then you just maximum bet every game here on out on texas its a win win but the problem is the guy probally doesnt have 20-30k sittin around to deposit which would be hard to not get flaged doing so
                    Comment
                    • Bigbill365
                      SBR MVP
                      • 06-22-12
                      • 4572

                      #11
                      wow 1 down 2 to go im pullin for ya let us know wat ya do
                      Comment
                      • chachi
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-16-07
                        • 4571

                        #12
                        GL son ...
                        Comment
                        • BeardedTaco
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 10-18-11
                          • 647

                          #13
                          Comment
                          • kmarinouofm
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 8437

                            #14
                            we are all pulling for you today man..

                            but honestly if i was you.. i would have been on a plane to vegas last night/ this morning after that win to get that loot down at the M on texas
                            Comment
                            • chachi
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-16-07
                              • 4571

                              #15
                              indeed, with title deed and pink slips in hand
                              Comment
                              • kmarinouofm
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 8437

                                #16
                                Originally posted by chachi
                                indeed, with title deed and pink slips in hand
                                bro can you imagine the sales pitch you would give to friends and family ? trying to scrap it all together..
                                Comment
                                • brewers7
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 03-11-06
                                  • 298

                                  #17
                                  I am sure if he didn't bet Texas the last 2 days, that he's putting every dollar he has in his account on Texas tonight with virtually no juice on the Rangers...

                                  Impossible NOT to hedge at this point as you want to guarantee yourself a win no matter who wins now...
                                  Comment
                                  • Bigbill365
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-22-12
                                    • 4572

                                    #18
                                    dude i hope your in your car with every thing valuble and selling it as fast as you can book your fukin flight now and put it all on texas a god 30-40k
                                    Comment
                                    • mrpooh
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 01-12-11
                                      • 558

                                      #19
                                      no hedge, because he even said that the 125k isn't life changing, so you let it ride. I'd rather have it go with 125k on the line, then hedge out for a smaller number
                                      Comment
                                      • hutennis
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 07-11-10
                                        • 847

                                        #20
                                        Why Not to take EV out of it? And it's cheap too.
                                        Comment
                                        • durito
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 07-03-06
                                          • 13173

                                          #21
                                          OP is a 1%er, surely has enough to hedge properly. Pinny was taking 30k on the game. Oh that's right you still bet $250 at bodog.
                                          Comment
                                          • kmarinouofm
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 8437

                                            #22
                                            One time for my man andy... One time!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • lumpy19
                                              SBR High Roller
                                              • 09-12-08
                                              • 114

                                              #23
                                              congrats thats a nice score
                                              Comment
                                              • kmarinouofm
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 01-26-09
                                                • 8437

                                                #24
                                                Happy for you man. Buy something nice for your family ... Enjoy the big win
                                                Comment
                                                • WorldCup82
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 01-28-09
                                                  • 3

                                                  #25
                                                  Congrats man!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • princecharles
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 11-22-10
                                                    • 827

                                                    #26
                                                    Niceeeeeee
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Waterstpub87
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-09-09
                                                      • 4102

                                                      #27
                                                      Congrats on the win.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Bigbill365
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 06-22-12
                                                        • 4572

                                                        #28
                                                        well i hope this is for real and when you cash out please post a pic for my own gratification and this sports book you used will go atomatically to a A+ book
                                                        Comment
                                                        • ODDmaster
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 02-15-12
                                                          • 209

                                                          #29
                                                          500$ to 125k ??? GOSH
                                                          Comment
                                                          • chachi
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-16-07
                                                            • 4571

                                                            #30
                                                            am sure the SBR head honchos know which book it was by this point ...

                                                            Comment
                                                            • Jaug
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-11-09
                                                              • 3087

                                                              #31
                                                              What a god damn play
                                                              Comment
                                                              • peacebyinches
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-13-10
                                                                • 1112

                                                                #32


                                                                congratulations !!! i hope you get payed out with no issues
                                                                Comment
                                                                • andywend
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 05-20-07
                                                                  • 4805

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I sure do appreciate all the well wishes from the people who posted in this thread.

                                                                  It was quite a ride though I did wind up hedging the wager as I bet $20K on the Rangers in game 2 of the series and then $44K on game 3.

                                                                  Even with the hedging, I still had $40,000 riding on the last game as I was looking at a $25K hedge profit if Texas won and $65K on the A's.

                                                                  For those who wanted to know, I made the wager at Heritage and the customer service staff was incredibly helpful (as they always seem to be). After emailing them about hedging scenarios, MIKE put me in contact with someone from their risk team offering me all sorts of options with Heritage allowing me to bet the final 2 games directly with them using my wager as a hedge (as opposed to having to run all over town to get $20K and then $40K wagers placed).
                                                                  OP is a 1%er, surely has enough to hedge properly. Pinny was taking 30k on the game. Oh that's right you still bet $250 at bodog.
                                                                  Yes, I did have enough to hedge properly and NO I don't bet at Bodog any longer as my limits were reduced to peanuts and their customer service is downright AWFUL which is quite common among "recreational" books. Being from the U.S., I no longer have an account at Pinny even though I know its possible to do so.

                                                                  To all of the people who participated in this thread wishing me luck, I donate all of my SBR points to you.

                                                                  Thanks again for all the well wishes.

                                                                  Wager copied and pasted below

                                                                  Ticket Details : # 46130234-1
                                                                  Wager Type : Future/Prop
                                                                  Wager Status : Win
                                                                  Risk / To Win Amount : 500.00 /
                                                                  125,000.00(USD)

                                                                  Accepted : 7/9/2012 8:32PM -
                                                                  PST


                                                                  Won : 125,000.00

                                                                  Amount Paid : 125500.00

                                                                  Sport / Event : MLB Futures
                                                                  Event : MLB
                                                                  2012 Divisions
                                                                  Selection : Odds to win American League West
                                                                  Time
                                                                  :
                                                                  10/1/2012 5:00AM - (PST)
                                                                  Line : Oakland
                                                                  Athletics25000
                                                                  Outcome - Contestant Won
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sneakerhead
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 07-14-10
                                                                    • 7727

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by andywend
                                                                    I sure do appreciate all the well wishes from the people who posted in this thread.

                                                                    It was quite a ride though I did wind up hedging the wager as I bet $20K on the Rangers in game 2 of the series and then $44K on game 3.

                                                                    Even with the hedging, I still had $40,000 riding on the last game as I was looking at a $25K hedge profit if Texas won and $65K on the A's.

                                                                    For those who wanted to know, I made the wager at Heritage and the customer service staff was incredibly helpful (as they always seem to be). After emailing them about hedging scenarios, MIKE put me in contact with someone from their risk team offering me all sorts of options with Heritage allowing me to bet the final 2 games directly with them using my wager as a hedge (as opposed to having to run all over town to get $20K and then $40K wagers placed).Yes, I did have enough to hedge properly and NO I don't bet at Bodog any longer as my limits were reduced to peanuts and their customer service is downright AWFUL which is quite common among "recreational" books. Being from the U.S., I no longer have an account at Pinny even though I know its possible to do so.

                                                                    To all of the people who participated in this thread wishing me luck, I donate all of my SBR points to you.

                                                                    Thanks again for all the well wishes.

                                                                    Wager copied and pasted below

                                                                    Ticket Details : # 46130234-1
                                                                    Wager Type : Future/Prop
                                                                    Wager Status : Win
                                                                    Risk / To Win Amount : 500.00 /
                                                                    125,000.00(USD)

                                                                    Accepted : 7/9/2012 8:32PM -
                                                                    PST


                                                                    Won : 125,000.00

                                                                    Amount Paid : 125500.00

                                                                    Sport / Event : MLB Futures
                                                                    Event : MLB
                                                                    2012 Divisions
                                                                    Selection : Odds to win American League West
                                                                    Time
                                                                    :
                                                                    10/1/2012 5:00AM - (PST)
                                                                    Line : Oakland
                                                                    Athletics25000
                                                                    Outcome - Contestant Won
                                                                    Amazing hit, those big numbers must look cool on top(heritage tabs)
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • durito
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 07-03-06
                                                                      • 13173

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by andywend
                                                                      IYes, I did have enough to hedge properly and NO I don't bet at Bodog any longer as my limits were reduced to peanuts and their customer service is downright AWFUL which is quite common among "recreational" books.
                                                                      Congrats on finally getting limited at bodog. They are much quicker these days than when the rest of us recieved our first boot in 1923.

                                                                      For the rest of the idiots here, despite being a complete piece of shit, the op will surely be paid his entire amount by heritage without an issue.
                                                                      Comment
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