Super Bowl Odds 2025: Chiefs Still Favorites, Cowboys Need a Win on TNF
The Kansas City Chiefs remain the 2025 Super Bowl odds favorites entering NFL Week 4, but the Dallas Cowboys have a chance to join the mix with a win tonight.
The Cowboys have been outclassed for two straight weeks, but the latest Thursday Night Football odds expect Dallas to bounce back with a win tonight against the rival New York Giants.
That could propel America's Team into the top tier across our best Super Bowl betting sites, though there are a host of other contenders who should take care of business by the NFL Week 4 odds.
Our NFL Week 4 predictions break down everything that could impact the Super Bowl odds in the week ahead.
Super Bowl odds 2025
Super Bowl odds from our best sports betting sites; last update Sept. 26
Favorites
Team | BetMGM | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | +425 | 19.05% | $42.50 |
49ers | +700 | 12.50% | $70 |
Bills | +800 | 11.11% | $80 |
Lions | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
Texans | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
Eagles | +1200 | 7.69% | $120 |
Ravens | +1400 | 6.67% | $140 |
Jets | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
Packers | +2000 | 4.76% | $200 |
Cowboys | +2200 | 4.35% | $220 |
- Chiefs (+425): Kansas City has now won three games decided in the final minute, two of which turned on questionable calls in the Chiefs' favor
- 49ers (+700): San Francisco lost in Week 3 without Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, and George Kittle, and we'll see how much longer the Niners can withstand those absences
- Bills (+800): Buffalo trounced the Jacksonville Jaguars under the national spotlight of Monday Night Football as Josh Allen became the NFL MVP odds favorite
- Cowboys (+2200): Dallas can't afford a loss tonight if it hopes to keep pace with the other favorites, though we expect that'll come in our Cowboys vs. Giants prediction
Contenders
Team | BetMGM | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|---|
Bengals | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
Vikings | +3000 | 3.23% | $300 |
Saints | +3500 | 2.78% | $350 |
Steelers | +3500 | 2.78% | $350 |
Falcons | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
Seahawks | +4000 | 2.44% | $400 |
Chargers | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
Buccaneers | +5000 | 1.96% | $500 |
- Bengals (+2500): The Bengals remain 11th on the overall oddsboard despite entering Week 4 at 0-3 ahead of a meeting with the resurgent (?) Carolina Panthers
- Vikings (+3000): The latest Vikings odds continue to disrespect this 3-0 team and QB Sam Darnold; a matchup with the rival Packers awaits
- Saints (+3500): New Orleans plummeted back to Earth with an ugly Week 3 loss, and an NFC South clash with the Falcons will seriously impact these odds one or another in Week 4
Long shots
Team | BetMGM | Implied probability | Profit ($10 bet) |
---|---|---|---|
Browns | +6600 | 1.49% | $660 |
Rams | +6600 | 1.49% | $660 |
Dolphins | +6600 | 1.49% | $660 |
Cardinals | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
Bears | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
Colts | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
Jaguars | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
Commanders | +10000 | 0.99% | $1,000 |
Raiders | +15000 | 0.66% | $1,500 |
Broncos | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
Patriots | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
Giants | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
Titans | +30000 | 0.33% | $3,000 |
Panthers | +75000 | 0.13% | $7,500 |
- Browns (+6600): Cleveland looks absolutely helpless with Deshaun Watson running the offense; who misses Joe Flacco?
- Rams (+6600): An upset win over the Niners barely adjusted the Rams' Super Bowl odds, as injuries remain a major factor in L.A.
2025 Super Bowl favorites
Chiefs (+425)
Kansas City has won three games in the final minute, with two coming on questionable calls. But that form is still more impressive than what we saw a year ago from the two-time defending champions.
After beating the Falcons - one of the NFC's best teams in my view - and securing wins over the Ravens and Bengals, it's hard not to be impressed with this club's mettle as it looks to become the first team to win three straight Super Bowls.
We likely won't see these odds jump above +500 across our best sports betting apps until Kansas City loses a game. And as we saw last year, even that doesn't do much to deter oddsmakers from keeping the perennial champions from their rightful perch.
If they win it all for the third straight time, a $10 wager via FanDuel would return a $50 profit.
Best odds: +500 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 16.67%
49ers (+700)
San Francisco entered this week without Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, or George Kittle, but it still held a 10-point lead late in the fourth quarter against the Los Angeles Rams.
Then the Niners allowed 13 straight points while falling to 1-2 on the season, and they'll be without at least two of those aforementioned stars for the next few weeks.
Still, our best sportsbooks barely moved the 49ers' odds despite consecutive losses. This team will still be dangerous if it can employ its full cast of characters during a postseason run. A $10 bet right now would return a $75 profit.
Best odds: +750 via FanDuel | Implied probability: 11.76%
My Super Bowl pick to watch
Vikings (+3000)
Last week, we highlighted another NFC North team in the Green Bay Packers, who are still a compelling value bet at 20/1 with Jordan Love's return imminent.
But the Vikings absolutely deserve your attention right now after three straight wins to open the year. That includes an impressive 34-7 dismantling on Sunday of the Houston Texans, a team that many have pegged for a long playoff run.
Sam Darnold (181 passing yards, four touchdowns) produced one of his best games as a pro while leading Minnesota to its first 3-0 start since 2016. The Vikings' plus-55 point differential is their second-best through three games in team history.
There now isn't a question about whether this team is "legit." Instead, it's a matter of how far it can go in the playoffs if Minnesota reaches that point.
Fade the Vikings at your own peril.
Best odds: +3000 via BetMGM | Implied probability: 3.23%
AFC championship odds
The Chiefs are still the team to beat in the AFC after three straight narrow wins. Watch out for the Bills, who jumped into the second spot after beating the Dolphins and Jaguars, both in prime time.
(AFC Conference odds via BetMGM)
Team | Odds |
---|---|
Chiefs | +240 |
Bills | +400 |
Ravens | +700 |
Texans | +700 |
Jets | +800 |
Bengals | +1400 |
Steelers | +1600 |
Dolphins | +2500 |
Chargers | +3000 |
Browns | +3500 |
Jaguars | +4000 |
Colts | +4000 |
Raiders | +6600 |
Broncos | +12500 |
Patriots | +12500 |
Titans | +12500 |
NFC championship odds
The NFC feels wide open after nearly three weeks, as the favorite 49ers have lost two straight games.
It was a tough Sunday for this conference in general, though the Lions, Eagles, and Packers all helped their chances with a win.
(NFC Conference odds via BetMGM)
Team | Odds |
---|---|
49ers | +425 |
Eagles | +475 |
Lions | +550 |
Packers | +900 |
Cowboys | +1000 |
Vikings | +1100 |
Falcons | +1400 |
Saints | +1400 |
Seahawks | +1400 |
Buccaneers | +2000 |
Cardinals | +3000 |
Bears | +3000 |
Rams | +3000 |
Commanders | +5000 |
Giants | +12500 |
Panthers | +30000 |
Super Bowl 2025 exact matchup odds
Be forewarned that the math typically isn't in your favor for this sort of bet, as it's essentially a parlay on the AFC and NFC champions rolled into one.
It's hard enough to predict one winner, so proceed with caution and view this as more of an entertainment bet with the upside of a major payday.
(Exact matchup odds via DraftKings)
Matchup | Odds |
---|---|
Chiefs vs. 49ers | +1200 |
Chiefs vs. Eagles | +2200 |
Chiefs vs. Lions | +2200 |
Bills vs. 49ers | +2200 |
Texans vs. 49ers | +2200 |
Ravens vs. 49ers | +3000 |
Chiefs vs. Cowboys | +3000 |
Bills vs. Lions | +3500 |
Texans vs. Lions | +3500 |
Bills vs. Eagles | +3500 |
Super Bowl 2025 exact result odds
As if it wasn't hard enough just to pick the finalists, you can make an even greater return while accurately predicting the exact result of Super Bowl 2025.
Once again, a repeat of last year's result - the Chiefs beating the 49ers - is the likeliest outcome in oddsmakers' minds. However, these +1500 odds still only imply a 6.25% chance of that happening for a second straight year and third time in six seasons.
(Exact result odds via DraftKings)
Matchup | Odds |
---|---|
49ers beat Chiefs | +2200 |
Chiefs beat 49ers | +2200 |
Chiefs to beat Eagles | +2800 |
49ers to beat Texans | +3000 |
Eagles to beat Chiefs | +3500 |
49ers to beat Bills | +3500 |
Chiefs to beat Cowboys | +3500 |
Texans to beat 49ers | +4000 |
49ers to beat Bengals | +4000 |
49ers to beat Ravens | +4000 |
How to bet on the Super Bowl
Betting into the Super Bowl market is one of the most popular but challenging things to do successfully as a sports bettor. You have to carefully consider a mix between a team's viability in the regular season and its aptitude for the postseason.
First, you need to consider a team's ability to make the playoffs, which feature seven teams in each conference with a first-round bye for the No. 1 seed. That last part is key - the top seed in each conference routinely reaches (and wins) the Super Bowl, so betting on an elite regular-season team is a solid way to succeed in this market.
That said, a team's postseason success tends to be highly correlated to quarterback play, coaching, and elite defense. That's been the formula for decades, and while a top-flight defense is perhaps the least important of those three, there are only so many franchise quarterbacks and championship-level coaches around.
That's why the Kansas City Chiefs, led by Patrick Mahomes and Andy Reid, have won two straight Super Bowls and three of the last five. It's also why most Super Bowl winners tend to enter the season with odds shorter than 10/1, as the teams with those key elements in place are the ones you can expect to survive through February.
How to read Super Bowl odds
A crucial step to betting on the Super Bowl is understanding how the odds work. Put simply, American odds represent how much money you would win on a $100 wager - or, in some cases, how much money you would need to wager to return $100.
Let's refer to an example. The Kansas City Chiefs opened with +750 odds to win the 2025 Super Bowl. That means a $100 bet at those odds would return $750 in profit, or a $10 bet would return $75 in profit. You could even bet $1 for a $7.50 return if Kansas City does indeed win its third consecutive championship this February.
A team like the Houston Texans, which opened at +2500 odds, would return a whopping $2,500 in profit if they win their first Super Bowl. Of course, those odds suggest they are much less likely to do so, as those +2500 odds represent an implied probability of just 3.85% according to our odds converter.
As we get closer to the Big Game, you may see a team dealing at "negative" odds. For example, the San Francisco 49ers were priced at -125 ahead of Super Bowl 58, meaning you would need to bet $125 to win $100, or $12.50 to win $10.
You'll want to be careful staking too much on bets with minus odds, as what can seem like a "sure thing" is always vulnerable to the chaos and unpredictability of sports.
Super Bowl preseason odds for all 32 teams
Team | DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chiefs | +500 | +550 | +500 | +575 | +550 |
49ers | +600 | +600 | +600 | +625 | +550 |
Ravens | +1000 | +1100 | +1000 | +900 | +900 |
Lions | +1200 | +1200 | +1200 | +1000 | +1200 |
Bengals | +1300 | +1500 | +1300 | +1300 | +1200 |
Eagles | +1400 | +1300 | +1200 | +1300 | +1400 |
Bills | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 | +1700 | +1200 |
Texans | +1600 | +1500 | +1600 | +1300 | +1600 |
Packers | +1800 | +1800 | +1600 | +1700 | +1600 |
Jets | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1700 | +1800 |
Cowboys | +1900 | +1800 | +2000 | +1600 | +1600 |
Dolphins | +2200 | +2200 | +2500 | +2500 | +2500 |
Rams | +3000 | +3000 | +3000 | +2500 | +3000 |
Falcons | +3000 | +2600 | +3000 | +2800 | +2500 |
Bears | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3500 | +3000 |
Browns | +4000 | +3500 | +4000 | +4000 | +4000 |
Chargers | +4500 | +4000 | +4000 | +3500 | +3500 |
Steelers | +5000 | +5000 | +5000 | +4500 | +4000 |
Jaguars | +5000 | +4500 | +5000 | +4500 | +4500 |
Seahawks | +6500 | +5500 | +6600 | +8000 | +6600 |
Colts | +7500 | +5500 | +8000 | +6000 | +6000 |
Buccaneers | +8000 | +6500 | +8000 | +9000 | +6600 |
Vikings | +8000 | +8000 | +10000 | +8000 | +8000 |
Cardinals | +10000 | +8000 | +12500 | +12500 | +10000 |
Saints | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +10000 | +8000 |
Raiders | +10000 | +10000 | +15000 | +6000 | +8000 |
Commanders | +12000 | +12000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
Titans | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 | +15000 |
Giants | +20000 | +15000 | +20000 | +20000 | +10000 |
Broncos | +20000 | +25000 | +15000 | +15000 | +12500 |
Panthers | +25000 | +25000 | +25000 | +20000 | +25000 |
Patriots | +35000 | +30000 | +30000 | +27500 | +15000 |
Past Super Bowl winners
Year | Team | Preseason odds |
---|---|---|
2024 | Chiefs | +600 |
2023 | Chiefs | +900 |
2022 | Rams | +1200 |
2021 | Buccaneers | +1000 |
2020 | Chiefs | +600 |
2019 | Patriots | +600 |
2018 | Eagles | +4000 |
2017 | Patriots | +600 |
2016 | Broncos | +900 |
2015 | Patriots | +650 |
Super Bowl wins and appearances by team
Team | Appearances | Wins |
---|---|---|
Patriots | 11 | 6 |
Steelers | 8 | 6 |
49ers | 8 | 5 |
Cowboys | 8 | 5 |
Broncos | 8 | 3 |
Chiefs | 6 | 4 |
Giants | 5 | 4 |
Packers | 5 | 4 |
Commanders | 5 | 3 |
Raiders | 5 | 3 |
Super Bowl FAQs
Who is the Super Bowl favorite?
The Kansas City Chiefs are the 2025 Super Bowl favorites with odds as long as +500 entering Week 4. That implies a win probability of 16.67%.
Who won the Super Bowl last year?
The Kansas City Chiefs won Super Bowl 58, defeating the San Francisco 49ers in a 25-22 overtime thriller to win their second straight Lombardi Trophy.
When will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
Super Bowl 59 will be played on Feb. 9, 2025.
Where will the 2025 Super Bowl be played?
The 2025 Super Bowl will take place at the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans, La.
How to watch Super Bowl 2025
FOX will broadcast Super Bowl 59 nationally on Feb. 9, 2025. While kickoff is yet to be announced, it will likely take place around 6:30 p.m. ET.
Who has the most Super Bowl wins?
The New England Patriots and Pittsburgh Steelers have won six Super Bowls, tied for the most.
Who has the most Super Bowl appearances?
The New England Patriots have made it to the Super Bowl 11 times, the most of any team.
When was the first Super Bowl?
The first Super Bowl occurred in 1967 after the NFL and AFL merged.
Which team won the first Super Bowl?
The Green Bay Packers won Super Bowl I, defeating the Kansas City Chiefs by a score of 35-10.
How many teams haven't won the Super Bowl?
Twelve teams have never won the Super Bowl. That list includes the Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Detroit Lions, Houston Texans, Jacksonville Jaguars, Los Angeles Chargers, Minnesota Vikings, and Tennessee Titans.
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