1. #211
    darrell74
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    ^
    Thanks(Ian Kinsler rec.)

    OVi gets one, finally, against Marc Andre-Fleury of all people. Good for them and ALLCAPS
    OF course, as a Vegas fan, wish I could cry it out, but my ballsack is too big. IDK, maybe I'll cry later. I just got done throwing away my Vegas Golden Knights wagers.
    Sad night for me.

  2. #212
    darrell74
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    Cole Hamels was worthless, save 5 strikeouts

    Anyways, pickup Marco Gonzalez for Seattle, immediately Seattle Mariners.
    20% owned last night, now 46% owned, hurry the hell up and pick him up, he's going against the Rays.

  3. #213
    darrell74
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    I would bet on Zack Greinke of the Diamondbacks against the Colorado Rockies and German Marquez
    Marquez should get hit very often.
    However, Outfielder Carlos Gonzalez has 5 home runs lifetime against Grienkie, and is only 20% owned

  4. #214
    hotcross
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    pretty much your player analysis held true once again Friday night

  5. #215
    darrell74
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    ^
    Thanks, Hotcross.

    Joc Pederson hitting is hot lately. Dodgers outfielder
    7% owned. Five home runs in the last week alone.
    Course this guy has a reputation of catching lightning in a bottle. Very hard to catch him when he's good.
    Maybe he's worth a stream while he's hot.

  6. #216
    darrell74
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    Live dog Matt Koch Arizona Diamondbacks
    Decent numbers lately, however not overly impressive.
    But Chad Bettis of the Colorado Rockies sucks when it comes to the Arizona Diamondbacks
    This is the only Underdog I saw value in

    Favorites don't have really good value. You might have to Parlay 2 teamers, but do it only on the moneyline.
    Nationals Indians Red Sox Blue Jays Tampa Bay Rays Houston, some favorites that should definitely win but I wouldn't parlay more than two. Nothing invincible

  7. #217
    darrell74
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    Shortstop outfielder Charlie Culberson for the Atlanta Braves S7 RBIs and nearly 400 batting average in the last 7 days

    Randal grichuk for the Toronto Blue Jays normally sucks but not this week he's batting 389 with seven RBIs in the past week
    Both 1% owned

    Max Muncy( Los Angeles Dodgers) is 18% owned. He had another home run last night and they walked him in his other three at-bats that he had. They can't figure him out, yet.

  8. #218
    darrell74
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    Wei YenChen has awful road numbers. But hes at home where he hasnt given up more than a run.
    Has good numbers against the Giants
    Madison Bumgarner has bad lifetime numbers against the Marlins. Even though it's only his second start
    Marlins +1 1/2 doesn't seem crazy to me

  9. #219
    darrell74
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    ^
    Good on me
    Anyways
    We might still be waiting for Clay Buchholz's arm to fall off but it's still there. he`s 38% owned and it is Rising rapidly and I trust him to take out the Pittsburgh Pirates tomorrow

  10. #220
    hotcross
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    I hear you about Buchholz, but it just feels too gross trying to back him, feeling like any game could be the blowup. The total 8.5 o/u offered on this game feels a little strange to me, because Trevor Williams for Pittsburgh has been really bad in recent starts....plus Arizona won 9-5 yesterday after the Pirates had a 5-0 early lead, but then Arizona came roaring back with 9 unanswered runs. So I'd expect to see the 9 o/u line tonight in Arizona. Perhaps books feel Buchholz will shut 'em down as you mentioned. I'm gonna pass on this game.

    My play tonight will be on Oakland as a +133 dog. Daniel Mengden at home against the Astros. He has been more than decent on the year, but did get hammered in his June 6 start on the road at Texas, but has good BvP numbers against most of the Astros batters, with the exceptions being Altuve and Correa on decent sample size, along with Bregman on less of a prior history. Meantime Lance McCullers has also had a good year, but Righties are batting .273 against him on the year.....and Oakland has a predominantly right-handed lineup. Oakland is 6-4 W/L in their past 10-games, after recent success in Kansas City. Somewhat of a hunch that I'm going with them to continue the momentum at least for one game with one of their better starters going tonight.

  11. #221
    hotcross
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    dammit, shoulda played the Over in Arizona, knew that line was BS.

    10-6 in the top of 5th so far

  12. #222
    darrell74
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    ^
    Seems like they're going over in Arizona, a lot more, lately.

    Minnesota shortstop Ehire Adrianza less than 1% owned as a 500 batting average in the last week with a couple of home runs
    Worth a look

  13. #223
    darrell74
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    Mid reliever Justin Miller for the Washington Nationals has been lights out
    He's 4-0 and piles up strikeouts, since his call up on May 26th
    He's off Thursday but I recommend finding room for him for Friday he will be used at least twice this weekend
    Possible cheap win

  14. #224
    hotcross
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    Carlos Rodon LHP starting today for the White Sox is an interesting dude. This is the 4th year in the Bigs for the 25-year-old. His issue has been control and 'learning to pitch' but has a high strikeout potential, had 7 in his last start in 5 innings at Boston, along with 2 walks and 2 homeruns.

  15. #225
    darrell74
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    Carlos Rodon LHP starting today for the White Sox is an interesting dude. This is the 4th year in the Bigs for the 25-year-old. His issue has been control and 'learning to pitch' but has a high strikeout potential, had 7 in his last start in 5 innings at Boston, along with 2 walks and 2 homeruns.
    Well, if some knucklehead in Monmouth New Jersey didn't jinx them(tout 5k wager), maybe a better outcome.

  16. #226
    darrell74
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    Utility man for the San Diego Padres Cory Spangenberg, he's hot he's cold he's hot he's cold. Well right now, he's only 2% owned and he's on a hitting streak so I guess right now he's hot
    Today, he's going against a right-handed pitcher, a useful stream when he swings from the left side

  17. #227
    darrell74
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    ^
    worthless, not even starting

    Picked up Jason Kipnis, 15% owned, good batting numbers versus Kyle Gibson

  18. #228
    hotcross
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    I'm loading up on the game in Cincinnati. I'm seeing the public consensus leaning more on Detroit as the visitors in this game, and I disagree with that assessment. It appears to be a game where a lot of runs should be scored, weather permitting as it's hot and humid with a light breeze blowing out for tonight's game. There is also a chance of a rain delay. Matt Boyd the lefty starting ofr Detroit has not been as effective in his road starts. Couple that with it being an interleague game in the Reds home park, and I think it gives distinct advantages to the Reds.

    Detroit has won an impressive 5 games in a row, coming off a road sweep of the hapless White Sox. Tigers have not played an interleague series since early in the season - 2 series in fact against the Pirates, but they did not fare well in those games, losing 5 out of 6, and the total went Over in 4 out of 6 of those games.

    Cincinnati meantime has won 4 out of 5 interleague games on this season, although only 2 of the 5 went Over.

  19. #229
    darrell74
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    Good call on the Reds with a blowout

  20. #230
    hotcross
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    Texas Rangers starting pitcher Mike Minor.... Rangers come in to Minnesota after winning 5 in a row. But the reason I really like the Rangers to win the first five innings pick is because the Twins lineup looks extremely weak with a bunch of left-handed batters going against the lefty starter Mike Minor. What causes me to lack extreme confidence with the play is because it IS the Rangers after all, who are not world beaters themselves.

  21. #231
    darrell74
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    Texas Rangers starting pitcher Mike Minor.... Rangers come in to Minnesota after winning 5 in a row. But the reason I really like the Rangers to win the first five innings pick is because the Twins lineup looks extremely weak with a bunch of left-handed batters going against the lefty starter Mike Minor. What causes me to lack extreme confidence with the play is because it IS the Rangers after all, who are not world beaters themselves.
    Good call^

    Been working too much.
    Can't remember the last day I had off. Haven't paid a lot of attention to baseball rotisserie lately.
    Keep up the great work , Hotcross .

  22. #232
    hotcross
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    yes Darrell, I was getting the impression your life been busy recently.

    I don't play baseball rotisserie league nor fantasy, but I do pick games, as you know.

    The trouble in posting info here is that often my decisions come after lineups been released, get a late check of the weather, and anything else about the players I can pick up, so it's all too close to gametime to make it very useful for anybody reading.

    My picks thread is more for me to stay disciplined and have a public record to stand on. I believe some people either follow or fade my picks also, so it has that use.

  23. #233
    hotcross
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    Chad Bettis starting tonight for the Rockies in San Francisco.

    2-0 W/L in his last 9 starts, but ERA has climbed from 2.05 up to 5.23 during that time

    However a lot of that has come on his home starts. He's been much better on the road, except a game at Texas where it was hot and humid, so was similar poor pitching conditions to what he sees at home. I wonder if he'll be good tonight in SF.

  24. #234
    darrell74
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    Mark Trumbo's is on a 10 game hitting streak with five home runs and the Baltimore Orioles are playing a little bit better

  25. #235
    hotcross
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    Camden Yards the home ballpark for Baltimore Orioles is a great place to hit during the hot summer months, the ball really carries out

  26. #236
    darrell74
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    Camden Yards the home ballpark for Baltimore Orioles is a great place to hit during the hot summer months, the ball really carries out
    True. Same with Washington.
    I just dropped Gio Gonzalez last week. Some knucklehead claims him off waivers and Gio gets pounded for six runs in the second inning and his last start.
    Unless if you got Max Scherzer, you don't need any pitcher from Washington or Baltimore unless if they are an established closer, this time of year.

  27. #237
    darrell74
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    Trevor Richards would be my spot start Play for tomorrow if I had to pick one
    Miami Marlins
    His last two home starts have been very good and his very last start on the road against the Rockies went very well
    Justin Bour and Starling Castro has very good hitting numbers against Zack Greinke for the Arizona Diamondbacks

    If you got time check out the shortstop for the Los Angeles Dodgers named Enrique Hernandez I think they nickname Kiki
    He's a right-handed batter going against the cold left-handed Jose Quintana. You could also use him as a second baseman or an outfielder


    ... unrelated. I worked 13 days straight, I finally had a day off so now I've had some time to actually analyze some statistics. I feel like I haven't really been doing a good job. A little burned out.
    Today I told myself that I need to force myself to stay home and just relax.
    Funny thing is I'm still broke. After I paid my bills and all the sports were done after I would get off work and Rush down to the sports book I would blow it all on video poker and craps.
    It feels kind of good just to sit around. My legs were tired.

  28. #238
    hotcross
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    man that is the tough part for a gambler living in Vegas

    I have really learned to stay away from slots. Still get the itch so I end up blowing my SBR betpoints on 'em. But never win here either, so I'm getting to the point of refraining from even that.

    Hope you can be strong and stick with sports picks. And only do it when your mind is fresh, look for a sure pick, be selective and give yourself the best chance to win. It's hard enough to win.

  29. #239
    darrell74
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    man that is the tough part for a gambler living in Vegas

    I have really learned to stay away from slots. Still get the itch so I end up blowing my SBR betpoints on 'em. But never win here either, so I'm getting to the point of refraining from even that.

    Hope you can be strong and stick with sports picks. And only do it when your mind is fresh, look for a sure pick, be selective and give yourself the best chance to win. It's hard enough to win.
    Went to the casino and put 20 bucks on Houston and the under in a 2 teamer. Won 40 bucks
    Bet 50 bucks on 3 different horse bets, lost all 3.
    lost 20 bucks on video poker
    Did all of that while waiting on a movie with a buddy from work.
    Down 30 bucks for the day, not as bad as some others.
    I still love this town.

  30. #240
    darrell74
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    Relief pitcher Lou Trevino (Oakland Athletics)has a couple of wins and a couple of saves in the last couple of weeks with a decent era and whip to boot
    4%owned, might be worth inserting while you got starters on the bench.

  31. #241
    ApricotSinner32
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    Quote Originally Posted by hotcross View Post
    man that is the tough part for a gambler living in Vegas

    I have really learned to stay away from slots. Still get the itch so I end up blowing my SBR betpoints on 'em. But never win here either, so I'm getting to the point of refraining from even that.

    Hope you can be strong and stick with sports picks. And only do it when your mind is fresh, look for a sure pick, be selective and give yourself the best chance to win. It's hard enough to win.

  32. #242
    darrell74
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    Quote Originally Posted by darrell74 View Post
    Relief pitcher Lou Trevino (Oakland Athletics)has a couple of wins and a couple of saves in the last couple of weeks with a decent era and whip to boot
    4%owned, might be worth inserting while you got starters on the bench.
    Got a two out save with a 5 run lead

  33. #243
    darrell74
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    Jesse Winkler of the Cincinnati Reds Reds outfielder has had pretty good numbers, today he has a good lefties vs righties matchup

  34. #244
    darrell74
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    Assail Garcia came off the dl on June 22nd, and he has a hitting streak since his return. 4 home runs in the last week

  35. #245
    hotcross
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    yeah but the White Sox just cannot compete. Even when they play a good game, the bullpen blows the game. Now Jose Abreu got hurt last night and went on the DL

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