In a pick'em league (it's winner-take-all) and I'm in the top 5 going into the final 3 weeks of the season. The league is setup to pick all games in the week vs. the spread, but 5 of the games are "confidence picks" that are worth 7, 5, 3, 3, 3 points each. Here are my picks for this week - looking for any advice you can give on them:

7 pointer: Tampa +5.5 vs. SF
5 pointer: Jacksonville +2.5 vs. Buffalo
3 pointer: Philadelphia -4.5 @ Minnesota
3 pointer: San Diego +10.5 @ Denver
3 pointer: Miami +2.5 vs. New England

Rest are worth 1 point each:

Cleveland -2.5 vs. Chicago
Indianapolis -6.5 vs. Houston
Washington +5.5 @ Atlanta
Seattle -7.5 @ New York Giants
Kansas City -4.5 @ Oakland
New York Jets +11.5 @ Carolina
Green Bay +6.5 @ Dallas
St. Louis +5.5 vs. New Orleans
Tennessee +2.5 vs. Arizona
Cincinnati -3.5 @ Pittsburgh
Detroit -6.5 vs. Baltimore

Thanks for the help!