[TodaysLocks]

Many of you know me, many despise me, many don't care either way...

In the past I used my excel system to predict winners when matched with certain trends.

Recently my system hit a cold streak so I gutted it. I took out the trends aspect and stop weighing it so heavily.

I also rely less on my simulations.

I began noticing that the Power Rankings in my system were the key to picking winners.

I then stumbled upon these amazing threads:

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-handic...ng-system.html

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/college-fo...ce-system.html

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basket...eet-picks.html

These guys do an amazing job and using my system, and theirs, I have been back to winning ways the last few weeks.

That said, cold streaks do happen.

Anyways, here's how it works.

When my Power Rankings have an Underdog ranked higher than a favorite, I play the UNDER.

When the Underdog is favored by more than one point in my power rankings, I make a play on the Dog.

When the power rankings have the DOG as a negative (if they are +3, I subtract the value of the teams power rankings), we play the under.

For example:

Atlanta v. New York +4

Lets say ATL ranking is 92 and NY ranking is 89. I add 3 points to NY for homecourt.

So its 92-92 = 0.

Then I subtract the spread which is 4 and NY suddenly is a -4 point favorite. I would make a play on them AND play the UNDER.

Its confusing but will eventually make sense.

I'll update plays whenever I can.

Tonights NCAA plays are:

No plays
-----------------------------

I also will have nba football and nfl threads. check em out and good luck.

[fballfan]

Thanks! Good Info.

[GoldenBullet11]

Many of you know me, many despise me, many don't care either way...

In the past I used my excel system to predict winners when matched with certain trends.

Recently my system hit a cold streak so I gutted it. I took out the trends aspect and stop weighing it so heavily.

I also rely less on my simulations.

I began noticing that the Power Rankings in my system were the key to picking winners.

I then stumbled upon these amazing threads:

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nfl-handic...ng-system.html

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/college-fo...ce-system.html

http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/nba-basket...eet-picks.html

These guys do an amazing job and using my system, and theirs, I have been back to winning ways the last few weeks.

That said, cold streaks do happen.

Anyways, here's how it works.

When my Power Rankings have an Underdog ranked higher than a favorite, I play the UNDER.

When the Underdog is favored by more than one point in my power rankings, I make a play on the Dog.

When the power rankings have the DOG as a negative (if they are +3, I subtract the value of the teams power rankings), we play the under.

For example:

Atlanta v. New York +4

Lets say ATL ranking is 92 and NY ranking is 89. I add 3 points to NY for homecourt.

So its 92-92 = 0.

Then I subtract the spread which is 4 and NY suddenly is a -4 point favorite. I would make a play on them AND play the UNDER.

Its confusing but will eventually make sense.

I'll update plays whenever I can.

Tonights NCAA plays are:

No plays
-----------------------------

I also will have nba football and nfl threads. check em out and good luck.

I get it and like it...

[Skyliners2010]

Good info.. Will give it a try

[hotshotz3]

good to see you back tl, will keep an eye out for those threads and plays

[GGPLAYER]

Looking forward to seeing how these play out.

[jsund]

todayslocks--would you play the az st & az under to-nite?

[GGPLAYER]

Wondering if your going against mine and ShivaBowl's AI over play tonight?

[TodaysLocks]

If the line is 6 yes, if 5 or less I'm on the over too!

[TodaysLocks]

Tonights PR PLAY: 12/2/10

Go with my good friends Shiva and GG and take:

Ari st/Arizona OVER 55

[bypp]

Good luck

[bypp]

Good luck

[TodaysLocks]

todayslocks--would you play the az st & az under to-nite?

No because I don't have ari st as a favorite.

[PLAYA-PLAYA]

Good Luck ---BRO

[TodaysLocks]

12/2

o/u: 1-0

ytd: 1-0

[doctacarta]

how is it looking for today and the weekend? Have you seen the new A.I. plays? keep it up!

[TodaysLocks]

No NCAA plays on Tonights games.

The lines give us no value in our PRs.

[Aussiecapper101]

gl on the new thread

[MTek]

Nice Avatar Aussie......thats Sloan from Entourage ??

[TodaysLocks]

12/4/10 PR Plays:

Pitt/Cincy UNDER 55

FSU/VTech UNDER 51.5

Auburn/SCarolina UNDER 61.5

[playr101]

gl today

-playr101

[ShivaBowl]

12/4/10 PR Plays: Pitt/Cincy UNDER 55 FSU/VTech UNDER 51.5 Auburn/SCarolina UNDER 61.5

What service do you use for lines?
AUB @ SCAR is up to 63
Does the line movement in this game, affect your PR Software Play?
BOL

[Aussiecapper101]

Nice Avatar Aussie......thats Sloan from Entourage ??

sure is, shes fukkn hot

[TodaysLocks]

I just use PR, no software. And no, it won't affect my play.

[PLAYA-PLAYA]

Good Luck--BRO

[ShivaBowl]

I just use PR, no software. And no, it won't affect my play.

Ok so why do you have the AI Over System in your thread?
I just dont get it thanks.

AI Over Plays; YTD,
NFL, 18-6
CFB, 40-7

[TodaysLocks]

To give you guys props.

YTD: 2-2

[TodaysLocks]

Today's plays:

Navy/Sds

Under 60

[TodaysLocks]

Nice win last night.

Today's PR play:

Hawaii/Tulsa under 74 or 73.5.

Good luck.

[playr101]

gl... im on it

-playr101

[TodaysLocks]

UNDER 58.5 tonight!!!

[TodaysLocks]

Big Card Today:

Army +7.5

Army over 51

Kst pk

Kst over 48

Teaser: army under/Nebraska/Nebraska over (9pt teaser)

Teaser: tenn/tenn under/army/army over (12pt teaser)

Good luck.