5* graded play on Notre Dame as they take on Stanford set to start at 8:00 PM ET. My proprietary simulator and statistical database shows a high probability that Notre Dame will lose this game by six or fewer points. I also like a combination bet wagering 3* unit with the points and a 2* wager using the money line. Supporting this graded play is a system that has produced a 32-9 ATS mark for 78% winners since 2005. Play on a road team off 1 or more consecutive 'unders', in a game involving two good defensive teams allowing 16-21 points per game and after 7 or more regular seasons games have been played. Of the 68 plays made based on the criteria of this system, 33 of them or 47%, have covered the spread by seven or more points. Stanford will be thin at TE for this game with Levine Toilolo listed as questionable with a significant should injury and Zack Ertz listed as doubtful with a knee injury. Quarterback Luck has used the tight end significantly in this offensive scheme. Luck has completed 250 passes with eight players having caught 10 or more this season. Ertz and Toilolo have EACH caught 22 passes on the season. The success of the Cardinal offense is spreading the ball to different receivers and without a proven TE to go to allows the Notre Dame defensive scheme to be far more aggressive adding more zone and gap blitz plays to their game plan. Further supporting this graded play are game situations noting that Notre Dame head coach Kelly is a solid 13-3 ATS when playing against a top-level team winning 75% or more of their games in all games he has coached since 1992. Take Notre Dame.
