1. 10-02-10 10:33 AM #1
    The-Diesel
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    Public Fade Tracking Thread of Dogs 52% or Higher

    Let's try this for awhile. In this thread I will post plays against the public dogs 52% and higher. The public % will be coming from the eye in the sky. Let's see how it goes. Let's say all plays are 1 unit for tracking. You know the %'s may chage alittle before gametime.

    Today plays Saturday 10-2-10

    1 unit
    44% UConn -7.5 (-105)
    32% Virginia Tech -3.5 (-102)
    35% UNC -14 (-105)
    47% Mississippi -2.5 (-110)
    23% Air Force -9 (-110)
    43% LSU -16.5 (-109)
    34% Oregon -6.5 (-107)
    40% Pittsburgh -17 (-110)
    47% South Florida -21.5 (-103)
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  2. 10-02-10 10:48 AM #2
    RLM_Tracker
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    Nice idea, looking forward to seeing how this does.
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  3. 10-02-10 10:52 AM #3
    Bostongambler
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    gl Vin

    Lets see this play out
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  4. 10-02-10 11:02 AM #4
    The-Diesel
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    I will track this awhile and lets see how it goes guys
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  5. 10-02-10 06:25 PM #5
    The-Diesel
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    Here's the way it stands with two game left.

    1 unit
    44% UConn -7.5 (-105)......................Won
    32% Virginia Tech -3.5 (-102)..............Won
    35% UNC -14 (-105)...........................Won
    47% Mississippi -2.5 (-110).................Won
    23% Air Force -9 (-110)......................Lost
    43% LSU -16.5 (-109).........................Lost
    34% Oregon -6.5 (-107)
    40% Pittsburgh -17 (-110)..................Won
    47% South Florida -21.5 (-103)
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  6. 10-02-10 06:41 PM #6
    The-Diesel
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    Be back after the Stanford/Oregon game. Should be one hell of a game to watch.
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  7. 10-02-10 06:58 PM #7
    VegasPlayer
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    Lookin good
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  8. 10-02-10 07:27 PM #8
    Sawyer
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    Looks Promising!
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  9. 10-02-10 07:39 PM #9
    dante1
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    Nice, good idea. I always like dogs, unless the public likes them too.
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  10. 10-02-10 09:09 PM #10
    The-Diesel
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    Here's the way it stands with one game left.

    1 unit
    44% UConn -7.5 (-105)......................Won
    32% Virginia Tech -3.5 (-102)..............Won
    35% UNC -14 (-105)...........................Won
    47% Mississippi -2.5 (-110).................Won
    23% Air Force -9 (-110)......................Lost
    43% LSU -16.5 (-109).........................Lost
    34% Oregon -6.5 (-107)
    40% Pittsburgh -17 (-110)..................Won
    47% South Florida -21.5 (-103)............Won
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  11. 10-02-10 10:27 PM #11
    MB
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    Always wanted to track something like this over the long haul. Never had the nuts to str8 lay any money on the games though. Good shit
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  12. 10-02-10 10:52 PM #12
    jolmscheid
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    How come you picked 52% as a number?
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  13. 10-02-10 10:53 PM #13
    jolmscheid
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    Will be following along!
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  14. 10-02-10 10:55 PM #14
    ebbearsfb1
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    awesome, saw ur nfl thread will defintely check it out
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  15. 10-02-10 10:58 PM #15
    The-Diesel
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    Quote Originally Posted by jolmscheid View Post
    How come you picked 52% as a number?
    Just wanted to pick a little over half to give it a little breathing room
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  16. 10-02-10 10:58 PM #16
    The-Diesel
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    Quote Originally Posted by MB View Post
    Always wanted to track something like this over the long haul. Never had the nuts to str8 lay any money on the games though. Good shit
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  17. 10-02-10 10:59 PM #17
    The-Diesel
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    Quote Originally Posted by jolmscheid View Post
    Will be following along!
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  18. 10-02-10 10:59 PM #18
    The-Diesel
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    Quote Originally Posted by ebbearsfb1 View Post
    awesome, saw ur nfl thread will defintely check it out
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  19. 10-02-10 10:59 PM #19
    The-Diesel
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    Quote Originally Posted by The-Diesel View Post
    Let's try this for awhile. In this thread I will post plays against the public dogs 52% and higher. The public % will be coming from the eye in the sky. Let's see how it goes. Let's say all plays are 1 unit for tracking. You know the %'s may chage alittle before gametime.

    Today plays Saturday 10-2-10

    1 unit
    44% UConn -7.5 (-105)
    32% Virginia Tech -3.5 (-102)
    35% UNC -14 (-105)
    47% Mississippi -2.5 (-110)
    23% Air Force -9 (-110)
    43% LSU -16.5 (-109)
    34% Oregon -6.5 (-107)
    40% Pittsburgh -17 (-110)
    47% South Florida -21.5 (-103)
    Final results today 7-2 +4.81 units

    1 unit
    44% UConn -7.5 (-105)......................Won
    32% Virginia Tech -3.5 (-102)..............Won
    35% UNC -14 (-105)...........................Won
    47% Mississippi -2.5 (-110).................Won
    23% Air Force -9 (-110)......................Lost
    43% LSU -16.5 (-109).........................Lost
    34% Oregon -6.5 (-107)......................Won
    40% Pittsburgh -17 (-110)..................Won
    47% South Florida -21.5 (-103)............Won

    Fade Record
    7-2
    77%
    +4.81 units
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  20. 10-02-10 11:05 PM #20
    The-Diesel
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    Just remember guys today was a good day but it won't happen like this every time. The public has it's winning days also.
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  21. 10-02-10 11:21 PM #21
    figue
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    good work
    Points Awarded:

    jml7z2 gave figue 100 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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  22. 10-05-10 03:13 PM #22
    og4667
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    looks like Troy +3 is a public underdog tonight @ 55% ATS and 59% ML
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  23. 10-05-10 03:16 PM #23
    figue
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    the diesel is MTS the play today ??
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  24. 10-05-10 06:31 PM #24
    The-Diesel
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    Quote Originally Posted by figue View Post
    the diesel is MTS the play today ??
    No play tonight

    The 54% of the public is on Middle Tenn. St. right now.

    Could have a play building on UCF tomorrow night but to early to tell right now.
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  25. 10-05-10 06:33 PM #25
    The-Diesel
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    Quote Originally Posted by og4667 View Post
    looks like Troy +3 is a public underdog tonight @ 55% ATS and 59% ML
    This system only plays against public dogs og
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  26. 10-05-10 08:34 PM #26
    figue
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    where can i see the public plays ??
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  27. 10-06-10 03:53 AM #27
    The-Diesel
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    Quote Originally Posted by figue View Post
    where can i see the public plays ??
    Two places
    1. Pregame (Which I use because they are more up to date in my opinion anyway)
    2. Sports Insight (They have a 20 minute delay and are a little off on the numbers in my opinion of course)
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  28. 10-06-10 04:54 AM #28
    TakeIt
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    Quote Originally Posted by The-Diesel View Post
    Two places
    1. Pregame (Which I use because they are more up to date in my opinion anyway)
    2. Sports Insight (They have a 20 minute delay and are a little off on the numbers in my opinion of course)
    what's your opinion of SBR'S numbers?
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  29. 10-06-10 03:09 PM #29
    The-Diesel
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    Looks like UCF will be a play right now. We will wait closer to gametime.
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  30. 10-06-10 03:14 PM #30
    chanellygurl
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    i like ucf tonight also nice thread....
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  31. 10-06-10 03:18 PM #31
    og4667
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    Yea Diesel I had Troy as a public underdog last night per sportsinsights. Troy was getting 55% of ATS bets and 60% ML bets, how does that not make them a public underdog?

    Its your thread/tracking so its up to you but just saying.
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  32. 10-06-10 03:25 PM #32
    The-Diesel
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    Quote Originally Posted by og4667 View Post
    Yea Diesel I had Troy as a public underdog last night per sportsinsights. Troy was getting 55% of ATS bets and 60% ML bets, how does that not make them a public underdog?

    Its your thread/tracking so its up to you but just saying.
    I only use pregame which had Troy at 46% so it was a no play for me. Most likely both sites use different books to track there public % which is understandable. I always had more success with pregame. It's best to stick with only one to keep the confussion down.
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  33. 10-06-10 03:26 PM #33
    The-Diesel
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    Quote Originally Posted by chanellygurl View Post
    i like ucf tonight also nice thread....
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  34. 10-06-10 04:50 PM #34
    jolmscheid
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    Thanks for the plays Diesel...so you are going off the percentage on the SPREAD right? You are not looking at the % on the MoneyLine? Thanks!

    PS...Why not use SBR's numbers since I believe their percentages are an average of all the books?
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  35. 10-06-10 06:01 PM #35
    The-Diesel
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    Quote Originally Posted by jolmscheid View Post
    Thanks for the plays Diesel...so you are going off the percentage on the SPREAD right? You are not looking at the % on the MoneyLine? Thanks!

    PS...Why not use SBR's numbers since I believe their percentages are an average of all the books?
    Only the spread.
    I haven't had a chance to look over the SBR numbers.
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