1. #36
    GGPLAYER
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShivaBowl View Post
    [quote=GGPLAYER;6903959] Not to jinx things but it's goig well so far today.
    [quote]GGPLAYER;
    GGP System, Total Plays
    10/16/10
    Arkansas State, Play/Over WIN
    Eastern Michigan, Play/Over WIN
    UNLV, Play/Over WIN
    Kentucky, Play/Over WIN[/quote]

    What a run these Overs are on. 12-1 in the past 3 weeks. Yesterday Ark St/UNLV/Kentucky made us sweat it out till the very end but they all cashed.

  2. #37
    Wrecktangle
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    I tried several neural approaches, none turned out better than my "normal" modeling efforts and they were overly complex.

  3. #38
    Formulawiz
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    Quote Originally Posted by Wrecktangle View Post
    I tried several neural approaches, none turned out better than my "normal" modeling efforts and they were overly complex.
    I am not sure how sportrends comes up with their AI plays, but I guess there are other ways to pick winners. We should follow the O/U plays and see how there doing.

  4. #39
    Wrecktangle
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    Formulawiz, the point is: with complex math the chances for code error is great. Short term "great" results this season easily changes to bad as small sample results can simply be a lucky draw.

    On the other hand, if it really is that good, then the tendency is to take it out of the public hands and use it for big sponsors, or use it to make money directly.

  5. #40
    ShivaBowl
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    Complimentary Selection for 10/21/2010

    Take Oregon over UCLA No Play if > -23



  6. #41
    jsund
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    has ggplayer posted any overs on this system yet for this week? he has done remarkable on this so far--i can hardly wait . thx.

  7. #42
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    Plays based on early lines. 10/16/10
    FL&A System

    Rice 16.44 +9.5 W
    Lousville 12.53 +2.5 L
    Army 11.70 +6.5 W
    Virginia 8.01 +6 L
    Minnesota 7.99 +6 L
    Navy 7.83 -1.5 W
    (3-3) -0.3Units

  8. #43
    HoulihansTX
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    Plays based on early lines.
    10/23/10

    FL&A System

    Strength# // Spread#


    Navy 19.7 // +7
    Minnesota 18.9 // +9.5
    Lousiville 12.1 // +2
    Colorado 9.9 // +2.5
    Miami (OH) 9.2 // +3
    N. Carolina 9.1 // +6.5
    Buffalo 9.1 // +7.5
    Northwestern 8.7 // +5
    Mizzou 8.7 // +6???
    Bowling Green 8.6 // +2.5
    Florida Atlantic 8.1 // +7.5
    Ok St. 7.6 // +5.5
    Points Awarded:

    ShivaBowl gave HoulihansTX 20 SBR Point(s) for this post.

    ShivaBowl gave HoulihansTX 9 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  9. #44
    ShivaBowl
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    AI System Plays 10/23
    Based on early lines.


    Minnesota, to - 1.4
    Rutgers, + 5 and over
    Indiana, pk to +
    Maryland, to - 6.3
    Louisville, to - 5.4
    Bowling Green, to - pt.6
    Oklahoma State, to - 5.5
    Auburn, to - 9.9
    Texas Tech, to - 6.3
    East Carolina, to - 18.5
    Vanderbilt, + 5 and over
    North Carolina, + 3.1 and over
    Missouri, + 2.1 and over

    I need to check them and update on Sat.




    Last edited by ShivaBowl; 10-22-10 at 08:38 AM.

  10. #45
    GGPLAYER
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    AI plays which should go over:

    Rutgers/Pitt O 44
    IU/ILL O 55
    Vandy/SC O 46
    UNC/Mia O 48
    Mizz/OU O 53

  11. #46
    Formulawiz
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    Quote Originally Posted by GGPLAYER View Post
    AI plays which should go over:

    Rutgers/Pitt O 44
    IU/ILL O 55
    Vandy/SC O 46
    UNC/Mia O 48
    Mizz/OU O 53
    Curious why you dont have BOS/MARYL, PENN ST/MINN, KENT ST/BOWL GN, NEB/OKLST

  12. #47
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    Quote Originally Posted by Formulawiz View Post
    Curious why you dont have BOS/MARYL, PENN ST/MINN, KENT ST/BOWL GN, NEB/OKLST

    I will look at those.

  13. #48
    ShivaBowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by GGPLAYER View Post
    [quote]GGPLAYER; GGP System, Total Plays 10/16/10 Arkansas State, Play/Over WIN Eastern Michigan, Play/Over WIN UNLV, Play/Over WIN Kentucky, Play/Over WINWhat a run these Overs are on. 12-1 in the past 3 weeks. Yesterday Ark St/UNLV/Kentucky made us sweat it out till the very end but they all cashed.
    In the past 4 weeks plays on teams with a differential of, pk to + and over, are 19-1.
    19 plays went over the total, to 1 under.

    This is the reason why, we should post the numbers, along with the plays!
    Also, the only + and over differential, last week in the NFL, went over the total.
    Last edited by ShivaBowl; 10-23-10 at 10:21 AM.

  14. #49
    Formulawiz
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    AI System plays - Looks like a few changes.

  15. #50
    ShivaBowl
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    AI System Plays 10/23
    Based on early lines.

    UPDATED

    Minnesota, to - 1.4
    Rutgers, + 5 and over
    Indiana, pk to +
    >
    Mississippi, + 3.7 and over
    Maryland, to - 6.3
    Louisville, to - 5.4

    Houston, + 3.7 and over
    Bowling Green, to - pt.6

    Oklahoma State, to - 5.5
    Auburn, to - 9.9
    Texas Tech, to - 6.3

    East Carolina, to - 18.5
    North Carolina, + 3.1 and over
    Missouri, + 2.1 and over



    Vanderbilt, + 5 and over OUT
    Houston & Mississippi, IN


    Last edited by ShivaBowl; 10-23-10 at 10:09 AM.

  16. #51
    GGPLAYER
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    Quote Originally Posted by GGPLAYER View Post
    AI plays which should go over:

    Rutgers/Pitt O 44
    IU/ILL O 55
    Vandy/SC O 46 Removed
    UNC/Mia O 48
    Mizz/OU O 53
    Added:
    Miss/Ark O 58
    Hou/SMU O 63
    Points Awarded:

    ShivaBowl gave GGPLAYER 50 SBR Point(s) for this post.


  17. #52
    GGPLAYER
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    Quote Originally Posted by Formulawiz View Post
    Curious why you dont have BOS/MARYL, PENN ST/MINN, KENT ST/BOWL GN, NEB/OKLST

    I see where your going with this but I just back checked the past 3 weeks and the results are not as good. Overall if you bet the Overs of teams which AI came up with a - or fav play but ended up being a underdog in the game you would have gone 8-10. I just looked pretty quickly in the last half-hour but I feel my numbers are correct.

    10/2 - 4-4
    10/9 - 3-2
    10/16 - 1-4

  18. #53
    Formulawiz
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    Quote Originally Posted by GGPLAYER View Post
    I see where your going with this but I just back checked the past 3 weeks and the results are not as good. Overall if you bet the Overs of teams which AI came up with a - or fav play but ended up being a underdog in the game you would have gone 8-10. I just looked pretty quickly in the last half-hour but I feel my numbers are correct.

    10/2 - 4-4
    10/9 - 3-2
    10/16 - 1-4
    CG so basically you are going OVER on those games where the AI picks the dog.

  19. #54
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShivaBowl View Post
    In the past 4 weeks plays on teams with a differential of, pk to + and over, are 19-1.
    19 plays went over the total, to 1 under.

    This is the reason why, we should post the numbers, along with the plays!
    Also, the only + and over differential, last week in the NFL, went over the total.
    Yes I agree. I bet that NYJ/Den game Over. Results and plays have not been as many or solid as NCAA.

  20. #55
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    Quote Originally Posted by Formulawiz View Post
    CG so basically you are going OVER on those games where the AI picks the dog.
    Yeah exactly. Keep waiting for the bottom to drop out but they keep hitting. 3-0 today so far. I don't know why I even bother making any other bets. I've been making 1 unit bets on all these. Might have to double it up next week.

  21. #56
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    Quote Originally Posted by Formulawiz View Post
    Curious why you dont have BOS/MARYL, PENN ST/MINN, KENT ST/BOWL GN, NEB/OKLST

    Looks like these went 3-1 on the Over. First winning week this month. I'll keep my eye on them to see if the thrend continues.

  22. #57
    ShivaBowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by Formulawiz View Post
    CG so basically you are going OVER on those games where the AI picks the dog.
    Formulawiz; we are only playing Overs, on AI System Plays that read pk to > + and over.
    These are the Over Plays today using the AI System differential.
    Play Over the total, on these games.

    Rutgers, +5 and over____WIN
    Indiana, pk to + > ______WIN
    Mississippi, + 3.7 >______WIN
    Houston, +3 and over____WIN
    North Carolina, + 3.1 >___Loss
    Missouri, + 2.1 and over__WIN
    Last edited by ShivaBowl; 10-24-10 at 12:26 AM.

  23. #58
    ShivaBowl
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    xxx
    Last edited by ShivaBowl; 10-24-10 at 12:27 AM.

  24. #59
    ShivaBowl
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    Comp Selection From Sportrends.com 10/23/2010
    Take Arizona over Washington No Play if > -6.5

    Key Stats Last 5 Games
    ARI has the third toughest defense to run on in the league, at 2.4 yards per rush.
    ARI has the third best rushing defense in the league, at 77.6 yards per game.



  25. #60
    ShivaBowl
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    We are playing Overs, on AI System Plays, that read pk to > + and over.

    AI System Total Plays
    09/25
    Cen Mich +3.2> WIN
    OHIO + 3.8 WIN
    UAB +5> WIN
    WV +6> WIN
    NCST +6.3 WIN
    KENTUCKY +8.2> WIN

    10/02
    MICH ST pk to +> WIN
    IND +5> WIN
    KAN + 4.1 > WIN

    10/10
    UAB +2.7> WIN
    B. GREEN +3.5> WIN
    SYR +2.7> LOSS
    ILLINOIS +4.3> WIN
    FLST +1> WIN
    E CAR +4.6> WIN

    10/16
    ARK ST +2> WIN
    UNLV +1.5> WIN
    E. MICH +5> WIN
    KENTUCKY +3.9> WIN
    ARMY pk to +> WIN

    10/16
    Rutgers, +5 and over____WIN
    Indiana, pk to + > ______WIN
    Mississippi, + 3.7 >______WIN
    Houston, +3 and over____WIN
    North Carolina, + 3.1 >___LOSS
    Missouri, + 2.1 and over__WIN

    In past 5 weeks, plays on teams with a differential of, pk to + and over, are 24-2.

  26. #61
    Formulawiz
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    Quote Originally Posted by ShivaBowl View Post
    We are playing Overs, on AI System Plays, that read pk to > + and over.

    AI System Total Plays
    09/25
    Cen Mich +3.2> WIN
    OHIO + 3.8 WIN
    UAB +5> WIN
    WV +6> WIN
    NCST +6.3 WIN
    KENTUCKY +8.2> WIN

    10/02
    MICH ST pk to +> WIN
    IND +5> WIN
    KAN + 4.1 > WIN

    10/10
    UAB +2.7> WIN
    B. GREEN +3.5> WIN
    SYR +2.7> LOSS
    ILLINOIS +4.3> WIN
    FLST +1> WIN
    E CAR +4.6> WIN

    10/16
    ARK ST +2> WIN
    UNLV +1.5> WIN
    E. MICH +5> WIN
    KENTUCKY +3.9> WIN
    ARMY pk to +> WIN

    10/16
    Rutgers, +5 and over____WIN
    Indiana, pk to + > ______WIN
    Mississippi, + 3.7 >______WIN
    Houston, +3 and over____WIN
    North Carolina, + 3.1 >___LOSS
    Missouri, + 2.1 and over__WIN

    In past 5 weeks, plays on teams with a differential of, pk to + and over, are 24-2.
    If you went over on the in the pros today where the AI system picked the dog, it went 2-1

  27. #62
    HoulihansTX
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    Plays based on early lines. 10/23/10
    FL&A System
    Strength# // Spread#

    Navy 19.7 // +7 W
    Minnesota 18.9 // +9.5 L
    Lousiville 12.1 // +2 W
    Colorado 9.9 // +2.5 L
    Miami (OH) 9.2 // +3 L
    N. Carolina 9.1 // +6.5 L
    Buffalo 9.1 // +7.5 L
    Northwestern 8.7 // +5 L
    Mizzou 8.7 // +6??? W
    Bowling Green 8.6 // +2.5 L
    Florida Atlantic 8.1 // +7.5 L
    Ok St. 7.6 // +5.5
    L
    (3-9) -6.9Units

  28. #63
    Formulawiz
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    Quote Originally Posted by HoulihansTX View Post
    (3-9) -6.9Units
    I am not sure how you got 3-9 on FL&A system
    FL&A went 5-5
    AI system went 8-7
    PR 4-5
    Secondly the filter says not to play small colleges which you have listed.
    Houlihan are you making your plays 15 to 20 minutes prior to start of game? Lines did change.

  29. #64
    HoulihansTX
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    Plays based on early lines.
    10/30/10

    FL&A System

    Team Name Strength# // Spread#

    Tulane 19.7 // +7.5
    Tulsa 16 // +8
    K-St. 12.4 // +5.5
    Ole Miss 11/ +7
    Louisville 10.4 // +9.5
    Baylor 10.1 // +7
    NC St. 9.9 // +4
    USC 9.8 // +7
    Air Force 9.7 // +7
    UTEP 7.9 // +2.5
    Georgia 7.4 // -2.5
    Indiana 7.1 // +3

  30. #65
    VegasVixen
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    Link to the Sptrends AI system please? I've looked all over the site & all I see for coll fball is PR and "Team Matchup Analysis" which has no mention of AI?

  31. #66
    drfunkmaster
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    good luck.,..

  32. #67
    ShivaBowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by VegasVixen View Post
    Link to the Sptrends AI system please? I've looked all over the site & all I see for coll fball is PR and "Team Matchup Analysis" which has no mention of AI?
    http://www.sportrends.com/team_stats.htm
    http://www.sportrends.com/team_AI_cfb.htm

  33. #68
    ShivaBowl
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    AI System Plays 10/30
    Based on early lines.


    Virginia, 0.5 and over
    Louisville, + 1.2 and over
    Cincinnati, to -3.4
    Oklahoma State, to -7.5
    Tulsa, to -1
    San Diego State, to -24.4
    Texas El Paso, to -12.6
    Maryland, to -9.8
    California, to -2.4
    New Mexico State, to -2.4
    Baylor, + 1.9 and over
    Stanford, to -15.7
    Houston, to -20.7
    Utah, to -22.1
    Michigan, to -6.8
    Oregon, to -13.9
    Idaho, + 1.8 and over

  34. #69
    ShivaBowl
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    Quote Originally Posted by houlihanstx View Post
    plays based on early lines.
    10/30/10

    fl&a system

    team name strength# // spread#

    tulane 19.7 // +7.5
    tulsa 16 // +8
    k-st. 12.4 // +5.5
    ole miss 11/ +7
    louisville 10.4 // +9.5
    baylor 10.1 // +7
    nc st. 9.9 // +4
    usc 9.8 // +7
    air force 9.7 // +7
    utep 7.9 // +2.5
    georgia 7.4 // -2.5
    indiana 7.1 // +3
    Thanks HoulihansTx;

  35. #70
    ShivaBowl
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    10/28/10
    FL&A System
    NC St. 9.9 // +4
    I like this play and the over?
    gl

    FL&A
    NC St +3.5 WIN
    Last edited by ShivaBowl; 10-28-10 at 10:59 PM.

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