1. #1
    Lazyboy311
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    NCAAF Lazy Picks

    If anyone else is sick of BS bashing-filled threads, join me. I'm not a regular poster but have been capping for quite some time and want to put my picks out there for discussion and general "enlightenment". If you think I suck, good for you. If you think I'm awesome, thanks in advance. (all plays are played for more than just a few "real" dollars at a "real" book and will be accurately and honestly reflected in my spreadsheet). All for 1U, no "POY" or "locks" from me. Maybe. Maybe a 2U play from time to time. Thats about it.

    Up for discussion this week are the following plays (mine in bold):

    Miami -3 @ Clemson
    Temple -5 @ Army
    Va. Tech -4 @ NC St. (NOT placed yet...intend to but line moving possibly my way so in a holding pattern)
    Michigan -10 @ Indiana
    Duke @ Maryland -7 (bought down from -7.5 for -120)
    Georgia -4.5 @ Colorado
    Penn St. @ Iowa -7

    This week it looks like a lot of chalk, which isn't and won't be the case for the entire season. Although I will admit that I tend to look for under-valued favs (call it my "system"...if you will. But there is no system. Just my brain. And it has worked so far )

    Thoughts anyone?!?!

  2. #2
    MartinBlank
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    I like a few of your plays.

    Iowa especially. I am also sitting on the line waiting for movement in VT/NC State----

    Indiana is certainly a paper tiger. They haven't played anyone yet, and Robinson appears healthy---and is ready to go. Michigan also seems like a solid play.

    Best of luck to you!

  3. #3
    Jon825
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    i like a few of these too. GL man

  4. #4
    Lazyboy311
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    Quote Originally Posted by MartinBlank View Post
    I like a few of your plays.

    Iowa especially. I am also sitting on the line waiting for movement in VT/NC State----

    Indiana is certainly a paper tiger. They haven't played anyone yet, and Robinson appears healthy---and is ready to go. Michigan also seems like a solid play.

    Best of luck to you!
    My thoughts exactly on Indiana...I saw them play at WKU (my team...yeah we suck...ohh well) and they really didn't impress me.

    As far as the other games, I'm leaning fairly heavily on the Temple/Penn st game last week, as the result of that game has me playing both for temple and against PSU.

    Iowa has really been a solid team with the exception of one brain fart- and they came out the next week and absolutely destroyed Iowa St. I think they are going to play with a real chip on their shoulder for the remainder of the season, and when better to prove that than a big conference game like this week?!?

    As much as it pains me to say, Michigan looks like the real deal and until Robinson quits looking like a stud, I can't see them stopping the domination that has been their season so far.

  5. #5
    Lazyboy311
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    Adding:

    Ok St -3 + 100

    1U always

  6. #6
    Lazyboy311
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lazyboy311 View Post

    Miami -3 @ Clemson
    Temple -5 @ Army
    Va. Tech -4 @ NC St. (NOT placed yet...intend to but line moving possibly my way so in a holding pattern)
    Michigan -10 @ Indiana
    Duke @ Maryland -7 (bought down from -7.5 for -120)
    Georgia -4.5 @ Colorado
    Penn St. @ Iowa -7
    !
    2-0-1 so far....(including my ok st -3 that I added...damn me for not getting 2.5)

    Also never played va tech, saw late info that scared me. All in the spreadsheet

  7. #7
    zephyr
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    I like Georgia -4.5. I follow the Buffs a bit. That program is in full-on meltdown mode. Getting ugly. Very good chance for Georgia to win this one large.

  8. #8
    Lazyboy311
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    Quote Originally Posted by zephyr View Post
    I like Georgia -4.5. I follow the Buffs a bit. That program is in full-on meltdown mode. Getting ugly. Very good chance for Georgia to win this one large.

    always good to hear news like this!!!

  9. #9
    Lazyboy311
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    Quote Originally Posted by Lazyboy311 View Post

    Miami -3 @ Clemson
    Temple -5 @ Army
    Va. Tech -4 @ NC St. (NOT placed yet...intend to but line moving possibly my way so in a holding pattern)
    Michigan -10 @ Indiana
    Duke @ Maryland -7 (bought down from -7.5 for -120)
    Georgia -4.5 @ Colorado
    Penn St. @ Iowa -7
    2-1-1 including ok st push. Never played Va Tech so will not include (unless I use SP's recordkeeping, in which case I'm 50-0 )

    Adding:

    Stanford +7 @ Oregon -120 (bought up from 6.5)

    1U always

  10. #10
    BoS_010
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    I think Maryland runs away with it in the second half. Georgia needs to pick it up and I like your Stanford play. I liked Iowa the whole week but I keep picturing a backdoor cover by PSU so I teased them down to -1.5 with Wake +16. I hate teasers but I really wanted to do something with Iowa. I think they win, just not completely sold on 7, 7.5 at most places (which I got). Either way, BOL

  11. #11
    Lazyboy311
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    3-4-1 last week.... need to step my game up. That doesn't reflect plays this week which are all in spreadsheet.

    Plays this week:

    326 North Carolina St -10 -110 for Game
    331 Temple +3½ -110 for Game
    335 UNLV +27½ -110 for Game
    343 Utah -6 -110 for Game
    357 Alabama -7 -105 for Game
    374 Arkansas -5 -110 for Game

    That's it for now. Looking at some late games as well, but wanted to get in my "early" plays. Unfortunately this prick has to go into the office for a minute tomorrow. On a Saturday. FML.

    BOL all...any thoughts on the plays?

  12. #12
    Lazyboy311
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    Adding:

    360 Florida -6 -115 for Game

    I see this line moving against me closer to game time so went ahead and popped it...even at less-than-ideal juice

  13. #13
    Lazyboy311
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    Adding:

    407 Western Kentucky +295 for Game (.5 Unit here)

    It's my team and I've been talking trash all week about how we are gonna get our first win here. Putting my money where my mouth is...just not very much money lol

    Plays this week:

    326 North Carolina St -10 -110 for Game
    331 Temple +3½ -110 for Game
    335 UNLV +27½ -110 for Game
    343 Utah -6 -110 for Game
    357 Alabama -7 -105 for Game
    374 Arkansas -5 -110 for Game
    360 Florida -6 -115 for Game
    407 Western Kentucky +295 for Game (.5 U...tailers beware)

    1-1-0 so far

    1 Unit always (unless it's on your own team and they suck)

  14. #14
    Lazyboy311
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    326 North Carolina St -10 -110 for Game
    331 Temple +3½ -110 for Game
    335 UNLV +27½ -110 for Game
    343 Utah -6 -110 for Game
    357 Alabama -7 -105 for Game
    374 Arkansas -5 -110 for Game
    360 Florida -6 -115 for Game
    407 Western Kentucky +295 for Game (.5 U...tailers beware)

    3-5 last week... -1.65U

  15. #15
    Lazyboy311
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    This week is better (i hope):

    1 Unit always

    173- Utah -20.5 -107
    159- Iowa -3 -115
    120- Mich St -7 -110
    123- NC St -7 -125 (buying .5)
    180- Texas A&M -3.5 -110

    3T Teaser:

    NC State +2.5
    Iowa +7
    Utah - 10.5

    1U to win .91U

  16. #16
    MadTiger
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    I am with you on Tex A&M and the Iowa pick. Good luck, all.

  17. #17
    Lazyboy311
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    Added UGA last minute (In spreadsheet posted pre-game).

    Also adding:

    Florida -9
    Western Kentucky -2.5


    2-2 so far on the day. A&M got destroyed, NC State game was just all-around craziness. Hopefully late plays come through

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