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2010-2011 NCAAF Investment Plays
If you are reading this thread for the first time I know what you are thinking. Lord, this man is starting another new thread, what the heck is this guy doing. I will tell you what I am doing but first if you are new to my threads or if you were not here from the start of the NCAAF season this year let me give you a little background of my season thus far.
I originally authored my first College Football thread before the season started with one thing in mind and that was to ONLY post the plays that have made me alot of money in the past and I am talking about alot of money. After the first week of the season I also started posting other plays which I termed 'LEANS'. After week two I then posted 2 unit plays along with my leans. Long story short I lost focus of why I was here and along with posting my top one or two plays per week I added to that and posted leans and 2 unit plays, which were strong plays and they were plays I wagered but, as I previously stated, that was not the original reason why I was here.
Since there a few that have questioned my record for whatever reason the first month of this season let me make this clear to everyone exactly what my current record is. Keep in mind I am not here to sell anything or to build a client base. I I do not need to do that to make money as I make plenty of money wagering on my own plays. The only reason I post a record for NCAAF is to track the overall progress of my plays. I am here to share what I have learned and experienced over the previous several seasons, 8 to be exact, and to share the plays that have made me money. My overall NCAAF record as we speak is 8-8 but that record is not the record of, what I will call my "Power Plays" for lack of a better term. The 8-8 record includes as I said before the 2 unit plays that I posted. Included in that record are 3 plays in which I wagered 5 units each that are a part of, again for lack of a better term, my "Power Plays". Those 3 games have a record on their own of 3-0, +15.0 units and if you have been here with me since week one you saw me post each of those 3 plays and if you were not here they are listed below along with the thread link:
09/02
Pittsburgh +3.5, -110
09/10
Auburn +1, -110
09/18
Arkansas +3, -115
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/college-fo...ent-plays.html
So with all that said this is what I am going to do. With this thread I will ONLY post the plays that I was originally here to post and that is it. As I have stated previously I play and post these plays for 5 units each and if you have any questions regarding my money management or what exactly a unit amount is based on my bankroll at the end of this opening I will post my money management process that I posted in my original thread. If you have any questions or you want my opinion regarding a game that you like ask and I will answer promptly but as I said my posted plays will ONLY be my 5 unit "Power Plays". These plays will produce about 20 plays per season and that is it. I do not believe in quanity I rather believe in quality.
In closing, as you know I have had a problem with the SBR staff not filtering out a few certain individuals who come to my thread solely to cause problems and disrupt the thread. So I chose to start filtering those people myself utilizing the "Ignore" feature that this site provides. Anyone who is here to cause problems will be immediately added to my ignore list and will not be responded to and I encourage you to do the same. Just click on 'Settings' at the top of the page by your avatar and then click on 'Edit Ignore List' and type in the username of the person you want to ignore.
This thread will be my season thread and it will be my last College Football thread through the end of the 2010-2011 Bowl season. As far as my record is concerned my 'Signature' record will reflect the three games I mentioned above which are 3-0, +15.0 units. I do not think I will continue with a spreadsheet because I do not want to confuse anyone by adding those three games that are already completed. Each time I post a play it will be added to all the completed plays so everyone can keep track of every play that is completed and any future play. If that was confusing I will post my three completed plays with the results along with my play for this week a few minutes after I open this thread. You may choose to tail or not to tail and whatever you decide is fine with me just keep the damn thread positive please.
Below is my money management post from my prior thread and the link:
http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/college-fo...plays-p18.html
Alot of bettors assign a $100.00 per unit risked/wagered but I do not. My amount per unit is 2.5% of my bankroll and below is my breakdown of units and dollar amounts. Also keep in mind that during football season I re-calculate my dollar amount per unit each week . That allows me to wager more if I am on a current win streak and wager less if I am on a current losing streak.
1 unit = 2.5% of my bankroll
2 units = 5% of my bankroll
3 units - 7.5% of my bankroll
4 units = 10% of my bankroll
5 units = 12.5% of my bankroll
Here is a example if my bankroll is $1,000 with the Bosie State/Va Tech game tonight assuming that I am playing Boise State +2. Each of my College Football ATS plays are played at 5 units (12.5% of my bankroll).
Bankroll = $1,000 X 5 units/12.5% of my bankroll ($125.00)
So with the example above my play would be Boise State +2 wagering to win $125.00
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I assign a unit amount for my NFL plays (2 units), my NCAAF ATS plays (5 units) and my NCAAF ML plays (2.5 units). I wager the same amount of units with each category of plays meaning I do not fluctuate my unit size for each game. I do not assign stars next to my plays and I do not assign (1x) or (2x) next to my plays. It is hard enough picking winners at a high rate and it is even harder decifering which plays are stronger and which plays are weaker. Nobody here and anywhere that I know of is a good enough handicapper to pick winners and pick the stength or weakness of those winners. Here is a example below.
Assuming that I assign my plays based on strength and I will invest 15 total units on 5 plays:
Play #1 is a 10 unit play---LOSS
Play #2 is a 2 unit play---WIN
Play #3 is a 1 unit play---WIN
Play #4 is a 1 unit play---WIN
Play #5 is a 1 unit play---WIN
The result is 4-1, 80%, -6.00 units
Assuming that I assign my plays based on the same unit amounts and I will invest 15 total units on 5 plays:
Play #1 is a 3 unit play---LOSS
Play #2 is a 3 unit play---WIN
Play #3 is a 3 unit play---WIN
Play #4 is a 3 unit play---WIN
Play #5 is a 3 unit play---WIN
The result is 4-1, 80%, +8.70 units
It doesnt take a rocket scientist to determine which wagering method to use with the above example.
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Next, DO NOT wager on a game just to have action. Lets use tonight as a example. I posted Pittsburgh ATS and ML play as my only 2 official plays this week and that is all I will play. If I have leans I may wager betpoints but I will not wager a penny on any other game except for the side or total that I posted. This is why 95% of all sports wagering bettors lose more than they win and it is because most people do not use discipline they just want action on every game. The idea here is to increase your bankroll each week and you cannot do that betting on games you really shouldnt be wagering. If you like the game thats fine but if your wagering on a game just to have action to make the game more exciting to watch you will lose in the long run and you will see your bankroll decrease week to week which in turn will force you to make more deposits than you need to into your sportsbook account.
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In closing.....Each week I average about 2-4 NCAAF plays and 2-4 NFL plays per week. Those are the only games I wager. If I have leans I may wager betpoints and thats it. If you tail someone only tail that person. Just beacuse the person you tail has no plays one day do not go to another person and tail for that day. If you trust one person whether it is me or someone else just tail that person. If you tail more than one person in a sport you will have trouble winning consistently. Reading that back I think I used the word tail about 10 times and I did it on purpose. Be carefull who you tail because remember it is your hard earned money you are wagering, not their's.
Finally be carefull the last few weeks of the season. There are some service's and posters who may be having a bad or mediocre season. Their average unit size the entire season is 5 units. Then the last few weeks of the season their plays are all of a sudden 20 and 25 units per play. They do this for one reason and one reason only and that is if they win the last few weeks of the season their bad or mediocre season now looks/appears to everyone they had a great season. I call this deception and it happens alot. I hope this helps and like I said in a earlier post don't hesitate to ask me any questions they are all important.
Theejamus gave SportsPicks3434 6 SBR Point(s) for this post.
If you have some extra time and wouldn't mind giving me some advice in a solid 4 team 13 pt teaser or even a 3 team 10 pt teaser I would really appreciate it (I had great success with the 13 pt teaser you helped me make last week 
). I'm sure NC State +14 or NC State +17 would be the first play.. thanks in advance I will send some points your way 
Originally Posted by MartinBlank
no one wants to hear your bs
