One thing to keep in mind tonight is that Pitt will try and keep this a low scoring game and dominate the time of possession. With the total dropping, can't help to lean to the Pitt side + the points.
Another thing to keep in mind is the obvious factor of fading the large public favorite in week night games when their is no other game to bet on
My local has this at +4 and I will be pounding Pitt tonight