Record: 7-7-1 [-0.48]
Coulda been worse.
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09-19-10 01:08 AM #36
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09-24-10 02:54 PM #37
9.24.10: [8:00pm ET] TCU Team Total OVER 36.5 [-110]
My old Alma Mater had put up totals higher than this now in 11 of their last 14 regular season games dating back to last season. This season's low output was 30 against Oregon State. I look at SMU and I see a defense that has severe issues defending the pass that both Texas Tech & Washington State exploited. TCU showed against Baylor that their passing game is still a very under-rated part of the offense. The rushing attack will also be the best SMU has seen, well since last season when the Frogs punished SMU for 229 yards on the ground in scoring a 39-14 win that included a scoreless 1st quarter. TCU's defense should also have opportunities to terrorize SMU's weak o-line and potentially force some turnovers leading to short fields. I don't think Gary Patterson is taking his foot off the pedal this week, TCU scores plenty this evening.
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09-24-10 11:19 PM #38
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09-24-10 11:39 PM #39
9.25.10
12:00pm ET: N.C. STATE +8 [-110]
It appears that there are many non-believers in the Wolfpack, but this team looks pretty solid to me especially going up against a Georgia Tech team that has looked vulnerable the last two weeks against North Carolina & Kansas. I think Russell Wilson will exploit a Yellow Jacket secondary that has looked beatable. Think NC State stays within the number here and has a shot to win outright.
2:00pm ET: MIAMI (OH) vs. MISSOURI OVER 51.5 [-110]
Mizzou has posted consistent numbers scoring-wise this season with 23 or more in all three games, but they have yet to really break out. Miami should be challenged here for the first time against the spread offense. Miami has a good aerial attack and that will be their hope to keep this game close, but Missouri is actually worse vs. the run. If the Redhawks can get some rushing going early, they could at least get a couple scores to help out here.Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 09-25-10 at 09:54 AM.
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09-25-10 12:33 AM #40
good luck with your plays ep
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09-25-10 12:42 PM #41
Wound up booking Miami-Mizzou at 50.5
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09-25-10 12:44 PM #42
nc st looking ok so far
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09-25-10 02:02 PM #43
3:30pm ET: ARKANSAS STATE vs. TROY OVER 66.5 [-110]
A huge total here, but the styles of these two teams warrants it. Both are porous defensively through the air and that is a point both potent offenses will attack and exploit. Both teams average over 300 yards through the air with Troy also adding 150+ on the ground. Defensively, Troy is giving up over 300 yards passing per game and 34 ppg. Arkansas State has struggled against both the run and pass, giving up 34 ppg as well. Sometimes these games fail to meet expectations, but I think the two defenses are so poor that we will definitely see some big numbers on the scoreboard here. Just look at Troy giving up 21 in the 4th quarter last week as a reason that this one should have a chance.Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 09-25-10 at 02:18 PM.
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09-25-10 03:52 PM #44
7:30pm ET: FRESNO STATE +108
Gut play here as Ole Miss just has not been that impressive, losing to Vanderbilt at home last week. Masoli made some key mistakes and the Fresno State defense may give him problems too. If Fresno State can run the ball effectively to set up their passing attack, I think they can win outright here.
8:00pm ET: UTAH vs. SAN JOSE STATE OVER 52 [-110]
At home, Utah should put up some big numbers here. The Utes have been well balance with the pass and the run, but should likely be using the pass to exploit a poor Spartans pass D. San Jose State won't be expected to do much here as they average 11 ppg, but if they can get 10 on the board I think Utah will likel have a great shot to finish the rest in a rout.
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09-25-10 05:48 PM #45
Record: 10-7-1 [+2.52]
Hopefully the night is as kind as the day time has been so far. Would like to get 2 of these last 3 to finish it off well. Good luck tonight fellas. Arkansas State & Troy resuming after a lengthy weather delay. 35 points on the board approaching the half.
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09-26-10 10:43 AM #46
Record: 11-8-1 [+1.42]
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09-30-10 02:10 PM #47
9.30.10: [7:45pm ET] TEXAS A&M QBs COMPLETIONS OVER 22.5 [-105]
I have to rate the OVER a pretty nice prop here with Jerrod Johnson at the controls for A&M. He is coming off a horrible performance, but is fully capable of this number. I expect him to bounce back and he should get 40 or so cracks at passing attempts in this one.
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09-30-10 09:53 PM #48
Record: 12-8-1 [+2.42]
EZ peezy.
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10-01-10 06:44 PM #49
10.1.10: [8:00pm ET] UTAH STATE vs. BYU UNDER 52 [-110]
An interesting match-up here as BYU's offense has been among the nation's worst through four games. Utah State has struggled defensively against the pass and the run somewhat as well, but this could be a night to get healthy with BYU's inexperience on offense. For the Cougars, they have to figure out how to stop the run. This year, they have not but that was against much more potent running attacks in Air Force, Nevada and FSU. Utah State has not run the ball consistently, so that will be a telling sign of this game as to which unit has success in that department. Utah State QB Dorell should be the one to watch, probably more with his legs. Until BYU shows they can score, even against an average defense, I'll side with the under.
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10-01-10 10:30 PM #50
Record: 13-8-1 [+3.42]
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10-02-10 12:09 AM #51
10.2.10
12:00pm ET: UCONN-VANDERBILT UNDER 47 [-110]
Two teams here who want to run the football. UConn has been a bit surprising in their inability defensively to stop the run, so this will be a challenge for them. The good thing for them is that Vandy doesn't pose much of a threat through the air. UConn has a bit more balance which will make it tougher for Vanderbilt, but they should be confident with their performance last week vs. Ole Miss. This one feels like it will hit into the low to mid 40s, but be just a little short of the number.
1:00pm ET: MIAMI (OH) +3 [-110]
The Redhawks take on Kent State. Miami has looked solid in two home games this year, both wins. Both teams rely on their passing games as both have struggled to run the ball. Miami though has had success at home running the ball. Game is probably decided on which team commits fewer turnovers. Miami has 11 takeaways to 6 for Kent State.
2:30pm ET: NAVY +10 [-117]
Run vs. Run with Navy & Air Force. Navy is 9-1 ATS in this series this decade.
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10-02-10 02:19 PM #52
3:30PM ET: BUFFALO-BOWLING GREEN OVER 51 [-110]
Bowling Green has the better offense here as they have put up 20 or better in all four games and 44 in their lone home game this season. They do most of their damage through the air, but could have success on the ground too against a Buffalo squad that has given up some yards the last two weeks. BG's defense is weak as well, giving up more than 30 points in every game this season. That should help ignite a Buffalo team that has moved the ball, but hurt themselves with turnovers.Last edited by EaglesPhan36; 10-02-10 at 02:32 PM.
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10-02-10 03:15 PM #53
7:00pm ET: IOWA STATE-TEXAS TECH UNDER 54.5 [-110]
Two under rated defenses I think. Iowa State has been solid against the pass, but struggles versus the run. Tech has yet to uncork their rushing attack, relying mainly on their aerial assault. ISU has given up just 10 points in two home games, but Tech is the best offense they will have seen. Tech's defense is weaker against the pass, but ISU doesn't have the kind of attack that will likely take advantage there. Their run defense has been good enough so far. Expecting a fairly close game throughout with the winner I think hitting in the high 20s and the loser a little short of that.
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10-02-10 11:59 PM #54
Record: 16-10-1 [+4.22]
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10-05-10 02:17 PM #55
10.5.10: [8:00pm ET] TROY TEAM TOTAL OVER 30 [-110]
This is a dynamic offense that produces both through the air and on the ground. Troy has put up at least 30 points in all four of their games this season and dating back through last season, have now hit that total in 13 of the last 14. It helps that their defense is porous and will always put pressure on the offense to have to keep pace with the other team. Looking for another big stats game from QB Corey Robinson and the dual attack at RB should find success against MTSU which has not been good vs. opposing ground games.
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10-05-10 10:00 PM #56
Record: 17-10-1 [+5.22]
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10-06-10 06:47 PM #57
10.6.10: [8:00pm ET] UAB vs. UCF OVER 48 [-110]
It's the immovable object that is the UCF defense against the iresistable force that is UAB's offense. The X factor here is UAB's defense which has given up at least 28 points in each game so far this season. UCF only averages 24 with a balanced attack. UAB has put up 440+ yards of offense per game with UCF yielding only 15.5 ppg. This though will be either the best or 2nd best [NC State] offense they will have faced. I think they'll be tested and I think UAB's multi-faceted dual QB system will have some success. Also think UCF will put points up through offense and special teams.
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10-06-10 07:36 PM #58
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10-06-10 09:56 PM #59
Record: 18-10-1 [+6.22]
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10-07-10 04:49 PM #60
10.7.10: [7:45pm ET] KANSAS STATE-NEBRASKA OVER 47.5 [-110]
Been reading how "sharps" [blah] are on the under here, driving this number way down from its opening point. Fine for me here. Both teams love to run and both teams have had some issues stopping the run. If the defenses focus on the run though, I think T-Mart is open for business on roll outs from play action for Nebraska and Coffman for K-State could get some opportunities to go deep with one-on-one coverage. Figuring K-State has given up 20 or more in three of their four games to less dynamic attacks than Nebraska, I think the Huskers will put up some points. Huskers D has been stout from a points standpoint, but Daniel Thomas will test them. 1st half may be slow, but I think the points come in the 2nd half and give this a shot.
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10-07-10 09:28 PM #61
Record: 19-10-1 [+7.22]
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10-08-10 06:20 PM #62
10.8.10: [7:25pm ET] Rutgers-UConn Defense or Special Teams TD Scored [+155]
Both teams have returned kicks for TDs this season with UConn tallying three kickoff returns for TDs. Their defense has been opportunistic as well and will get a shot at either a gimpy QB or an inexperienced QB. Rutgers defense should be amped up tonight because they are the only hope this team has, so they will be looking for make a difference.
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10-08-10 06:54 PM #63
Record: 20-10-1 [+8.77]
Boo ya. 100 yd kickoff return TD.
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10-09-10 10:50 AM #64
10.9.10
12:00pm ET: [1st Half] Ohio State-Indiana OVER 30.5 [-110]
Ohio State has been a big first half team this year and they should be able to do whatever they want against a porous Indiana defense. The Hoosiers pass offense has been dynamic and will test the Buckeyes secondary.
12:20pm ET: Tennessee +12 [-117]
Seems a little odd to me that a team with as many holes as Georgia is giving up this many points, even at home. The Vols should be able to hang in against Georgia with the confidence built from last week's narrow road loss to LSU. Tennessee will need to show there are no ill effects from their last second loss early though. Both defenses have struggled, but Tennessee has done a good job with turnovers - netting 10 takeaways, including four last week to LSU. If the Vols can pressure the Dawgs into some takeaways, I think they can stay within the number by setting their offense up with short fields.Points Awarded:
kmarinouofm gave EaglesPhan36 5 SBR Point(s) for this post.
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10-09-10 10:54 AM #65
i like it Eagles..
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10-09-10 12:00 PM #66
eagles is ohio going to get us all 30 pts first half?
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10-09-10 12:34 PM #67
Originally Posted by kmarinouofm
YUP
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10-09-10 12:40 PM #68
Thought IU would have helped, but whatever cashes! Tennessee is getting hammered.
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10-09-10 12:46 PM #69
2:00pm ET: Louisville-Memphis OVER 51 [-110]
Memphis is horrible, having given up 48 points or more in three of their five games already. Louisville has a balanced offense that should exploit Memphis' holes on defense. The Cards have scored 85 points in their last three games after a slow start. Memphis' offense has been stuck in neutral with QB injuries and poor play, but Louisville's defense has not been stellar. Memphis should at least find a way to score a few and help add to the total. Look for them to hammer the run first to try and loosen up the Cards D.
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10-09-10 02:20 PM #70
3:30pm ET: California-UCLA OVER 49 [-110]
Cal had trouble defending Nevada's version of the pistol offense, but they will likely have a better time of it against UCLA's version which doesn't have the deadly QB factor that Nevada had with Kapernick. UCLA should be confident though with three straight weeks of 30+ points. Cal's balanced attack will likely keep an off & on Bruins defense on its heels. Cal could go to the air early after UCLA's struggles last week against Washington State [300+ yards passing].
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