Oklahoma -4 vs Texas A&M

**BigdaddyQH** · 11-01-10, 08:52 AM

This is a good wager. A&M does not have much of a defense.

**isg2010** · 11-01-10, 08:58 AM

As an Aggie, I do hope we can pull it out. We have played OU great at home the last few years (with the exception of Sherman's first year). Scores have been 16-17, 35-42, and 30-26 (Sherm's first year '08 was 28-66). OU has been a mystery this year and has not looked good at all on the road. A&M's defense is the wild card. They are vastly improved from recent years, but then again, that is moving up to serviceable from downright embarassing.

If we play like we did against, Okla St (a loss), or Tech (who beat Baylor), AND OU plays like they did vs. Utah St, Air Force, or Cincy then A&M wins. If A&M plays like they did against Mizzou or Arky, then OU wins by 10+.

**3PtShooter** · 11-01-10, 09:21 AM

could get ugly

**Ca$hfloW** · 11-01-10, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

This is a good wager. A&M does not have much of a defense.

how can you say that, ATM has played well vs two top offenses (Arkansas and Oklahoma st.)

**the12thman** · 11-01-10, 10:00 AM

A&M has a better defense than Oklahoma statistically by quite a bit.

Vegas has been on A&Ms side the whole season, had them as 3pt dogs at OSU, 5ptdogs vs Arky, 3.5 pt favs vs Mizzou, and now 4 pt dogs vs OU. I thought this line would come out at around 7-7.5, but it seems like another trap game by Vegas to me. QB Tannehill set the A&M passing record in his first career start, and the Aggies have a more than capable RB in Cyrus Gray to replace Christine Michael, they split carries anyways.

**utmoody10** · 11-01-10, 11:17 AM

Originally posted by the12thman

A&M has a better defense than Oklahoma statistically by quite a bit. Vegas has been on A&Ms side the whole season, had them as 3pt dogs at OSU, 5ptdogs vs Arky, 3.5 pt favs vs Mizzou, and now 4 pt dogs vs OU. I thought this line would come out at around 7-7.5, but it seems like another trap game by Vegas to me. QB Tannehill set the A&M passing record in his first career start, and the Aggies have a more than capable RB in Cyrus Gray to replace Christine Michael, they split carries anyways.

Tex A&M is ahead in total D due to their rush D. Their pass defense is worse than Oklahoma, Oklahoma has a better tunrover margin, they rush the passer better and they have the better scoring defense. So it may be a push in terms of defense but in no way is Tex A&M better by a wide margin.

**mv09** · 11-01-10, 02:26 PM

Originally posted by BigdaddyQH

This is a good wager. A&M does not have much of a defense.

They didn't last year. This year's defense is not bad at all.

Originally posted by utmoody10

Ryan Tannehill has played well albeit against two of the worst defenses in the Big 12.

He broke the 100+ year old school record of most passing yards in one game in his first career start and the key, he didnt turn the ball over (Jerrod) until junk time.

Also, the game wasn't on TV so there is no gametape for OU to study. The key to this game is turnovers & Tannehill albeit in 1 start was very smart with his decision making. Game has trap written all over it.

**utmoody10** · 11-01-10, 02:58 PM

Originally posted by mv09

The key to this game is turnovers.

Then why not go with the team that ranks 6th nationally in giveaways (only 8 turnovers all year) and 9th nationally in turnover margin? Props to Tannehill breaking that record but when you throw 50 times against the worst pass D in the FBS the numbers are bound to get gaudy.

**BigDofBA** · 11-01-10, 03:57 PM

Huge OU fan here. This is one of the games I have been predicting OU to lose all season.

I like A&M +4 but won't be betting against my own team.
OU loses or wins by a FG.

**ex50warrior** · 11-01-10, 11:19 PM

Originally posted by utmoody10

I have to believe that the Sooners win this game by more than a TD. Kyle Field is a great home field and playing at night will have the Aggies fired up. The Aggies arent the same team expected out of the gates this year with Jerrod Johnson being replaced and losing their leading rusher for the year last game. Ryan Tannehill has played well albeit against two of the worst defenses in the Big 12.

Oklahoma has struggled on the road but have lit up the scoreboard against A&M over the last few years. This and the fact there will be some fresh faces on the A&M offense facing their first true test I see the Sooners healing their road woes and winning 38-24.

Agree; I played them early because I suspect the line may move up. Good luck!

**matthewsg** · 11-01-10, 11:23 PM

Landry Jones has proven to be VERY unreliable on the road, both last year after Bradford's injury, as well as this year. It's A&M or nothing for me.

**csknight3** · 11-01-10, 11:30 PM

The line has actually shifted towards ATM even though 87% of the public is on OU... Seems like a bunch of sharps are on ATM. Always a scary thing. This one is a toss up but I would choose ATM. Just because I really think if Tannehill was starting all season they would be around 7-1 instead of 5-3. Theyve lost all theirs games to ranked teams (Ok St and Ark and Mizzou) and only lost to Ok st by 3, when Johnson had 5 interceptions and against Arkansas by 7 when Johnson was just 15-40 with a last drive interception. Thats my logic, but like I said, whoever shows up will win this one.

**TonyP** · 11-01-10, 11:42 PM

can not bet against my team OU and not sure about the game yet

**Ca$hfloW** · 11-02-10, 12:09 AM

My prediction: ATM wins be 10

**M.W.** · 11-02-10, 09:10 AM

I agree -- TAMU by 10.

**DarkNite** · 11-02-10, 09:38 AM

Originally posted by csknight3

The line has actually shifted towards ATM even though 87% of the public is on OU... Seems like a bunch of sharps are on ATM. Always a scary thing. This one is a toss up but I would choose ATM. Just because I really think if Tannehill was starting all season they would be around 7-1 instead of 5-3. Theyve lost all theirs games to ranked teams (Ok St and Ark and Mizzou) and only lost to Ok st by 3, when Johnson had 5 interceptions and against Arkansas by 7 when Johnson was just 15-40 with a last drive interception. Thats my logic, but like I said, whoever shows up will win this one.

Very good observation. From OU -4 to -3, it's one point.
I have to go with TexAM

**isg2010** · 11-02-10, 09:40 AM

First time I ever paid attention to line movements was when A&M hosted Miami two years. We looked great for a drive or two and then Miami crushed us. Here's to hoping the sharps get it right on A&M like most of this year.

**thebestthereis** · 11-02-10, 10:31 AM

a&m here because the line is a joke, bet opposite

**mattywatty** · 11-02-10, 10:51 AM

It's a tough game to pick. I'm an Aggie and I can see both sides of it. When it gets right down to it, this is Tannehill's first start against a real team, and I think it's hard to pick A&M in that case. He is a QB who, while he had a great debut, has never faced adversity, and OU is a very good team. I'll be betting on OU, partially because I really think they're a touchdown better than A&M, but moreso just to victory tax my Aggies.

Oh, and to the guy that said that since the A&M-Tech game wasn't televised, OU wouldn't have any tape to look at: do you really believe that's how it works? OU has a copy of the game film, I promise you. Teams exchange tapes, and even if A&M decided not to give their tape out, you can watch the entire game on aggieathletics.com for free.