1. #1
    The Seer
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    The Over in Fresno/N.Mex ST.

    I'm leaning hard on this over. Anybody have reasons they'll pull the trigger on this?

  2. #2
    PerfecTrader
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    I took the Bulldogs 1st 1/2 -7 and -13 for the game. If I was going to bet the O/U I'd lean towards the O as well. Noone seems to have any input for ya so here's some I rounded up

    Been saying from day 1.....NMSU is a D-II Team with an NFL QB.....They have zero speed on offense and defense.....

    Fresno is turning the corner and getting back with Boise and Hawaii....Fresno has a shit load of athletes, and is probably faster than Boise and Hawaii (just way younger)...

    So Fresno had 4 Losses to Top 25 Teams.....big deal.....3 of them were on the road (Hawaii, Oregon, Tx A&M).....

    I was never a fan of Brandstater but after seeing him up close at Hawaii and last week against Kansas State.......kid is playing great ball...

    Since NMSU lost All-American WR Chris Williams, NMSU has lost 4 straight and has not been competitive at all in 3 games.....

    NMSU has ZERO home crowd.....

    Fresno -7 half 330 to win 300

    Fresno -13 game 330 to win 300

    I hate road chalk......but I think Fresno kills these guys and finishes a very strong 8-4 season....


    VS


    I really like this spot for the Aggies. Fresno State has locked up a bowl spot and had a huge emotional win over Big 12 Kansas State at home last week. Now they play the lowly Aggies who come off a bye week and in essence, this is the Aggies bowl game. It's a tremendous letdown spot for the Bulldogs. The Bulldogs Achilles heel is their pass defense and now they face an Aggie's team led by QB Chase Holbrook who is averaging 322 yards passing per game and is hitting at a phenomenal 71.3% completion rate. Fresno only has 3 INT's all season. and will be shorthanded in the secondary with the loss of CB Aj Jefferson and SS Lorne Bell. That's not a good facts for Fresno backers. On offense, Fresno has three solid RB's in Matthews, Miller and Smith, but all three are banged up and Matthews and Miller are ?. In addition, their leading receiver, TE Bear Pascoe is ?. NM State has their injrueis too as they lost star WR Chris WIlliams in October and are now without RB Tony Glynn. Derek Dubois has an a solid season at WR and is ?. I still think the Aggies are in a good spot here. This is their bowl game, they are facing a team banged up and with a weak secodnary and get to play on national TV to close out the season with 2 weeks to prepare for the game. The Aggies are 4-2 at home straight up and fought hard and made a nice comeback in their 40-38 home loss to Nevada.

  3. #3
    The Seer
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    Quote Originally Posted by PerfecTrader View Post
    I took the Bulldogs 1st 1/2 -7 and -13 for the game. ...but I think Fresno kills these guys and finishes a very strong 8-4 season....


    I really like this spot for the Aggies. Fresno State has locked up a bowl spot and had a huge emotional win over Big 12 Kansas State at home last week. Now they play the lowly Aggies who come off a bye week and in essence, this is the Aggies bowl game. It's a tremendous letdown spot for the Bulldogs. ..............I still think the Aggies are in a good spot here. This is their bowl game, they are facing a team banged up and with a weak secodnary and get to play on national TV to close out the season with 2 weeks to prepare for the game. The Aggies are 4-2 at home straight up and fought hard and made a nice comeback in their 40-38 home loss to Nevada.
    I appreciate your input but I'm not sure what you're saying here. You bet took Fresno but you like NM state?

  4. #4
    PerfecTrader
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    I took Fresno -7 1st half and -13 for the game. Sorry to confuse you but I was simply posting 2 different spins on the game, neither of which came from me. The 2 perspectives were seperated with a VS and came from 2 persons I don't know that I found through some online research. What probably is most confusing is I just happened to have already bet the 2 same bets the first guy I'm quoting did

  5. #5
    The Seer
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    I see. Thanks. I think I'm going with the over and will stay away from the side.

  6. #6
    Odrod
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    Careful on that over. Forecast shows heavy rain.

  7. #7
    The Seer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Odrod View Post
    Careful on that over. Forecast shows heavy rain.
    Thanks for the insight. I haven't bet it yet for just that reason.

  8. #8
    awhitejackson
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    Thanks for the info...Im strongly leaning towards Fresno...Watching their game with Hawaii gave me a lot of respect GL alll

  9. #9
    xxProviderxx
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    My book has FRESNO -13 & 66

    With rain in the forcast I wonder if NMST will struggle just alittle through the air. Fresno has rushed for just under 700 yards in there last 3 games and NMST can not stop the run. If NMST playes well like they did vs. Nevada at home the 13 points could be just enough to cover ATS.

    The UTAH ST. game that both NMST and FRESNO played worries me about playing NMST. NMST lost at home to UTST by 18 at home. FRESNO beat UTST at home 3 weeks ago by 11. If you are going by what have you done for me latley NMST then its a tough play to bet NMST. This is there last game of the year, non bowl eldg, so in a way this is there bowl game, last game for seniors, no dought they will be ready to play the whole game.

    Touching on the weather again, with no rain I think I can make an arguement that NMST should be foccused enough to come out and play a heck of a game. With the rain in the forcast you have to wonder if it will way on the minds of the QB and WR's faulting there foccus and throwing a wrench into a very good passing attack. You also have to look at the potential TO game with NMST air attack, they are -5 in TO's their last 2 games. Fresno with there ball control ballanced offense shouldent turn the ball over in this contest. I like Fresno to win the TO battle +2 +3 which shrinks the 13 points you would be giving up very fast if you play FRESNO.


    NMST has scored 17 in each of their last 2 games,(1 home 1 away against poor opponents. FRESNO has scored 37.5 avg in there last 2 against good opponents(1 home 1 away) I would look for FRESNO to score in the 40-45 point range and NMST to score under 17.

    My strongest point for this game is: Even if things go wrong for FRESNO early in this game they can lean and count on their running game to still win ATS. I have alot of confidence in FRESNO running attack. If NMST cant afford for things to go wrong early in this game or it will be a run a way, they must play a solid game from start to finish scoring TD's and I do not think they will produce. Fresno gets it done with ball control on the ground. PLAY---FRESNO ST. -13 I hate 0/U's but I do like the game to go UNDER 66 POINTS.

  10. #10
    louisvillekid
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    i like the over myself, but i'm laying of this game, just going to watch a little or check the score.

  11. #11
    Odrod
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    Public is on Fresno too much for me not to jump on NM St. (+13.5) for 1x

    I will also be playing under 68 with suspicion of sloppy play from both sides.

  12. #12
    SexyMit
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    Quote Originally Posted by Odrod View Post
    Public is on Fresno too much for me not to jump on NM St. (+13.5) for 1x

    I will also be playing under 68 with suspicion of sloppy play from both sides.
    That is what I am doing also... gl

  13. #13
    babytyger
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    We all agree on New Mexico State and the under?

  14. #14
    PerfecTrader
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    Quote Originally Posted by PerfecTrader View Post
    I took Fresno -7 1st half and -13 for the game.
    1 down

  15. #15
    Odrod
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    Quote Originally Posted by SexyMit View Post
    That is what I am doing also... gl

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