Mizz might win ATS but they will not win the game.
1. All spread O teams struggle to put teams away when up decently big getting close to the 4th Q. Case in point, the OU game earlier this year and the KU game last week. Even if OK is down the will rally due to MIZZ playing cautiously to protect there lead, as all spread teams must do, its just to risky when you are up big to not go into the prevent on O.
2. OU has play makers on D, and a great line, they will put heat on Daniel unlike KU did. KU's secondary is no where near OU's class, or LB's for that matter.
3. OU will run the ball, much of the same as last week with the PA pass going to 20+ gains. Mizz can not keep OU's running game at bay, not possible.
4. BOB STOOPS, Mizz will not see anything that they did last time since it didnt hold MIZZ like Stoops would have liked anyway. New looks, new coverages, new O sets, it will be like a new team leaving MIZZ wondering whey they watched all the game film.
5. MIZZ will do the only thing they know how to do, throw the ball, same 10 plays to the right and to the left. OU will have a better game plan on D.
6. In experience for MIZZ, I told everyone that the KU game would be very low scoring in the first 15min, and it was, why??? because of nerves, MIZZ will have the same problem in this game, but this time they will be down 14-0 before there nerves settle down. Then they will press and things will just get worse from there.
7. Special Teams, Maclin may be a sutd on O, but he is going to screw up a Punt in this game, mark that down it will happen he as been getting very lucky as of late. OU has a huge edge on Special Teams.
8. Coaching, and game prep. OU will be better prepared, more foccussed, less nervous. There all 4 star recruits, look at MIZZ, talent shows best on the biggest stages.
9. Lets get one thing straight, MIZZ is very talented on O, great WR, TE's QB decent backs. They will move the ball no question about it, but will they turn it into TD's more times that not, the answere is no. They will be to many opportunites for OU's D to make big plays on MIZZ's long drives which will result in a 3+ TO night for MIZZ.
10. Its OK vs. MIZZ, god I hate OU but they will beat MIZZ no questions asked.