I'm thinking about betting Air Force to cover the -2 on the road at Notre Dame.
Air Force has a good running attack, and I don't think Notre Dame is going to stop it. I think the odds are good that Air Force will dominate time of possession and field position. And win decisively on the scoreboard.
Neither defense is spectacular.
I am inclined to believe, though, that Air Force's vastly superior running attack is what sets Air Force apart from Notre Dame, and what might be the difference in this game -- a difference of more than 2 points.
As far as intangibles go, these are two teams on completely different rides. Air Force is having a good season (7-3 SU, 7-2 ATS), and is in contention (2nd behind BYU) in the Mountain West. We all know about Notre Dame's misery (1-8 SU, 3-6 ATS). They might just lose to two academies in a row.
Notre Dame might wake up, but I have seen no rational reason to bet on it happening. I'm thinking of putting a bet on Air Force to cover.
Any thoughts?