1. #1
    Savant
    Savant's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-07
    Posts: 349

    Looks like Free Money up for grabs

    Notre Dame has lost every game n ND being the fav. here seems like a joke to me.

    Navy +140 = Free Moneyyyyyyyyyyyyyy!!!

  2. #2
    dwaechte
    dwaechte's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-27-07
    Posts: 5,481
    Betpoints: 235

    Quote Originally Posted by Savant View Post
    Notre Dame has lost every game n ND being the fav. here seems like a joke to me.

    Navy +140 = Free Moneyyyyyyyyyyyyyy!!!
    Except for that game that they won...

  3. #3
    BuddyBear
    Update your status
    BuddyBear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 7,233
    Betpoints: 4805

    except for the fact that Navy surrended 59 points at home to a D1-AA school last Saturday.....

  4. #4
    bearmz
    bearmz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-17-07
    Posts: 320

    This is a scary game as ND allows 190+ ryds/g.

    Although Navy doesn't pass much, dead last at 107/g, ND's #112 at 153/g. Navys Pass Efficiency Off is #22 at 138.4-5 TD- 8.9y/att while ND's # 118 with 94.3-4TD-4.76/att. So when Navy does pass, they are effective. ND not.

    Navy's Total D #105-459y/g-38 TD's.
    ND TDef # 57-372y/g -28TD's.

    Sag's SOS:
    ND #1 80.25
    Navy #52 69.63

    ND's faced the #s 4,7,12,20,21,36,42, and 56 TDefs. and avg 10 pts/g.
    Navy's faced the #s 22,23,43,54,95,101, and Delaware. Vs teams with TDef ranks comparable, Navy scored 48,24-2X,31, and 30. ND scored 14-3X,19, and 20. I know most of ND's TD's were due to opps TO's.

    A lot people think this is ND's 2nd W, but I can't bank on a putrid Off and a tired Def...even with the week off. I realize Navy lost to Delaware LW 59-52, but how many know Del is ranked #7 in the FCA poll?

  5. #5
    BuddyBear
    Update your status
    BuddyBear's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-10-05
    Posts: 7,233
    Betpoints: 4805

    Quote Originally Posted by bearmz View Post
    This is a scary game as ND allows 190+ ryds/g.

    Although Navy doesn't pass much, dead last at 107/g, ND's #112 at 153/g. Navys Pass Efficiency Off is #22 at 138.4-5 TD- 8.9y/att while ND's # 118 with 94.3-4TD-4.76/att. So when Navy does pass, they are effective. ND not.

    Navy's Total D #105-459y/g-38 TD's.
    ND TDef # 57-372y/g -28TD's.

    Sag's SOS:
    ND #1 80.25
    Navy #52 69.63

    ND's faced the #s 4,7,12,20,21,36,42, and 56 TDefs. and avg 10 pts/g.
    Navy's faced the #s 22,23,43,54,95,101, and Delaware. Vs teams with TDef ranks comparable, Navy scored 48,24-2X,31, and 30. ND scored 14-3X,19, and 20. I know most of ND's TD's were due to opps TO's.

    A lot people think this is ND's 2nd W, but I can't bank on a putrid Off and a tired Def...even with the week off. I realize Navy lost to Delaware LW 59-52, but how many know Del is ranked #7 in the FCA poll?
    Who cares what they are ranked they are a D1-AA school any way you look at it. People said that APP State is a a great team and they have lost twice to D1-AA opponents. There is a huge difference in talent between them and Deleware scored on 8 straight offensive possessions in that game. Navy is not very good nor is Notre Dame. Better games on the board than this one. I'd pass....

  6. #6
    pavyracer
    MOLON LABE
    pavyracer's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 04-12-07
    Posts: 82,189
    Betpoints: 410

    Quote Originally Posted by BuddyBear View Post
    Who cares what they are ranked they are a D1-AA school any way you look at it. People said that APP State is a a great team and they have lost twice to D1-AA opponents. There is a huge difference in talent between them and Deleware scored on 8 straight offensive possessions in that game. Navy is not very good nor is Notre Dame. Better games on the board than this one. I'd pass....
    Delaware can beat half the teams in 1A on any day. I don't recall a year where so many 1AA teams beat 1A teams.

  7. #7
    bearmz
    bearmz's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-17-07
    Posts: 320

    Quote Originally Posted by BuddyBear View Post
    Who cares what they are ranked they are a D1-AA school any way you look at it. People said that APP State is a a great team and they have lost twice to D1-AA opponents. There is a huge difference in talent between them and Deleware scored on 8 straight offensive possessions in that game. Navy is not very good nor is Notre Dame. Better games on the board than this one. I'd pass....
    Agree both teams are not good and betting on a game where both teams are bad is asking for trouble.
    I threw out the Del ranking as an after thought as I just saw it myslf. I used to totally dismiss games involving the D2 teams as a look past by D1 opps. Guess I should only consider the ranking when the game is actually being played and who the D1s next opp is.
    I am passing this game as well as SOS heavily favors ND and Off favors Navy, but Def favors ND. As you stated, better games on the board.

  8. #8
    austintx05
    austintx05's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-24-06
    Posts: 3,156

    pass for sure

  9. #9
    bradleysnyder
    bradleysnyder's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-18-07
    Posts: 6,662
    Betpoints: 501

    Quote Originally Posted by Savant View Post
    Notre Dame has lost every game n ND being the fav. here seems like a joke to me.

    Navy +140 = Free Moneyyyyyyyyyyyyyy!!!
    i agree with the pick,but you might as well be saying LOCK just like me.you hate on me for posting locks and then you go and do it?makes no sense!

  10. #10
    hhsilver
    hhsilver's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 06-07-07
    Posts: 7,280
    Betpoints: 29946

    With Delaware, Navy was caught in a look ahead to their big game with ND and the chance to break the losing streak that is over 40.

    I only saw Navy vs Pitt and neither team could stop the other. Could Pitt beat ND? I think so --- but not for sure, I guess. But I doubt that ND could run through Pitt as Navy did.

    I want Navy to win and think they can. Not sure about betting on it.

  11. #11
    cashflow50
    cashflow50's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-23-07
    Posts: 140
    Betpoints: 120

    Quote Originally Posted by BuddyBear View Post
    except for the fact that Navy surrended 59 points at home to a D1-AA school last Saturday.....

    probably because of a lookahead to the ND game

  12. #12
    imgv94
    imgv94's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 11-16-05
    Posts: 17,192
    Betpoints: 10

    Navy and the points for me. Expecting a good game here.

    Has Notre Dame looked good in any game this season?

  13. #13
    pokernut9999
    pokernut9999's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-25-07
    Posts: 12,757

    I think they lost their spring game too.

  14. #14
    Doc JS
    Doc JS's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-15-06
    Posts: 6,885
    Betpoints: 12

    Quote Originally Posted by BuddyBear View Post
    except for the fact that Navy surrended 59 points at home to a D1-AA school last Saturday.....

    BB,
    You're all over it, as usual!

    Navy's defense is absolutely pathetic. Good boys. Trying hard. Will do a great job defending the country. No defense!!

  15. #15
    curious
    curious's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-20-07
    Posts: 9,093

    Quote Originally Posted by bearmz View Post
    This is a scary game as ND allows 190+ ryds/g.

    Although Navy doesn't pass much, dead last at 107/g, ND's #112 at 153/g. Navys Pass Efficiency Off is #22 at 138.4-5 TD- 8.9y/att while ND's # 118 with 94.3-4TD-4.76/att. So when Navy does pass, they are effective. ND not.

    Navy's Total D #105-459y/g-38 TD's.
    ND TDef # 57-372y/g -28TD's.

    Sag's SOS:
    ND #1 80.25
    Navy #52 69.63

    ND's faced the #s 4,7,12,20,21,36,42, and 56 TDefs. and avg 10 pts/g.
    Navy's faced the #s 22,23,43,54,95,101, and Delaware. Vs teams with TDef ranks comparable, Navy scored 48,24-2X,31, and 30. ND scored 14-3X,19, and 20. I know most of ND's TD's were due to opps TO's.

    A lot people think this is ND's 2nd W, but I can't bank on a putrid Off and a tired Def...even with the week off. I realize Navy lost to Delaware LW 59-52, but how many know Del is ranked #7 in the FCA poll?
    Navy is effective when they do pass because their recievers are wide open on every play. The defense has all they can handle trying to figure out the triple option.

  16. #16
    idontlikerocks
    idontlikerocks's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-09-07
    Posts: 571

    i hope it goes to 3, will be easier to give the points. notre dame gets the easy part of their schedule now.. notre dame has won how many in a row against navy?

  17. #17
    Savant
    Savant's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-07
    Posts: 349

    Quote Originally Posted by bradleysnyder View Post
    i agree with the pick,but you might as well be saying LOCK just like me.you hate on me for posting locks and then you go and do it?makes no sense!
    me n you are both on the opposite end of the spectrum!
    Nothing in sports is a Lock...the sooner you learn that bradley, the better off you will be.
    None of my picks are locks for the very reason that there is no such thing as a lock cuz anything can happen in sports!

  18. #18
    Savant
    Savant's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-07
    Posts: 349

    i dont know if anyone follows tennis here but just 2 weeks ago, roger federer lost to unseeded [even] david nalbandian <--a game which everyone thought is a lock cuz how can federer lose to an unseeded player but then again it happened.

    Always remember the golden rule:: Anything can happen in sports n for that very reason there r no such thing as locks!

  19. #19
    Rollins08
    Rollins08's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-20-07
    Posts: 1,337
    Betpoints: 295

    Notre Dame has so much more talent than Navy and they should be hungry to finally play a weak oponent. The should win this one easily.

  20. #20
    bmac
    bmac's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 09-11-06
    Posts: 513

    A pass for me but if i had to play.... I would probs roll the dice with ND and wait for -3 if possible.

  21. #21
    Skankdog
    Skankdog's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-25-07
    Posts: 174

    NDame wins this game. They will run the ball all day long.

  22. #22
    Savant
    Savant's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-07
    Posts: 349

    Congrats Guys who were on this.
    Navy went up to +150

Top