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imgv College Football Week 7. (YTD: 37-25 +11.64 Units)
Last Week: 6-5 -1.20
YTD: 37-25 +11.64 Units
After three straight weeks of mediocre outcomes I'm hoping to have a good week.
Doing something different here. Posting this early.
Here are the teams I'm on right now:
Wisc
BC
GA
UCONN
CAL
TT
SJST
TCU
SDST
UNLV
ILL
Teaser:
Northwestern
UNLV
Teaser:
OKLA
LSU
ASU
Will be adding units to some plays tomorrow at Matchbook so will post them tomorrow GL.
Will likely be on FSU -6 as well GL.
GL to you this week imgv...enjoy working with you...
Like lots of games this week..
1* TCU -4
1* TCU -3 (-120)
(Stanford is still the worst team in the Pac-10)
2* Boston College -12
(ND is still garbage and this is the best team they have played so far this season. Ryan has his way. BC wins easy)
1* Cal -14 (+102)
0.5* Cal -13.5
0.5* Cal -14 (-110)
(OSU uncomfortable away from Corvallis. Cal is now ranked #2 and that will inspire them to kill OSU. Huge coaching edge as well Tedford is way better coach then idiot Riley)
1.5* Wisconsin +7 (-120)
(Too many points here. Close game written all over it. I don't respect PSU as much as others do.)
1* Illinois -2.5
0.5* Illinois -3
(Illinois is a much better team than Iowa. Just can't see Iowa matching Illini pointwise. Zook has them boys inspired. Mendenhall should be the difference here)
1.5* Teaser
LSU +.5
OKLA +1
ASU -1.5
1* Teaser
Northwestern -1
UNLV +17.5
1* Georgia Tech +3
(G-Tech is the better team here. I'm simply not impressed with anything Miami has done thus far)
1* UCONN +3.5
(I think we need to start realizing UCONN is a really solid team. Love the fact UCONN could lose by three and we still win)
1* SJST +18
(Too many points here)
1* FLORIDA ST -6
(Following Woof)
1* TT -7 (-120)
(I'm simply not impressed with A&M. Being down over 2TDs to an OK State team who struggles on the road tells me all I need to know)
1* SDST +14.5
( I think SDST is a lot better than people give them credit for. I'm not sold on Utah quite yet, they go from being 14pt dogs to 14pt favs in one week)
0.5* NEBRASKA -4 +101
(Fading Ok St on road)
0.5* UNLV +11.5
(I still believe in this UNLV team)
Feedback always appreciated guys. Thanks for visiting.
BTW Juice on the Florida St wager is +102..
nice job on TCU...it was a game I really liked and the line was creeping down and then all of a sudden went up like crazy. In fact, I don't even remember it hitting -5...just from -4 to -6while i was gone.
I may make a small play on SJST myself......i think that is the right side.
Not sure what to say about FSU. They are clearly more talented and with Xavier Lee they seem to have found their stride offensively. But WF seems to relish the role of underdog and these primetime games seem to go the way of the dog more times than not. Good luck with that game.
I'm just following Woof's game of the year. He said he had this game circled for months.
Thanks.
I understand. I think a lot of FSU backers will point to the 30-0 home loss last year...trust me I remember I bet FSU -6 and it closed -9 too as all the money poured in on them. That was a special WF team and you can bet FSU has that fresh on their mind.Originally Posted by imgv94
However, these primetime games on Thursday are just difficult for me to even consider betting a favorite let alone betting one. In fact, WF falls into a very very strong system for Thursday night games:
Play On - A home team (WAKE FOREST) - after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins, when playing on a Thursday. (40-13 ATS over the last 10 seasons).
Not sure if that is a trend I would be interested in stepping up against.....throw in the fact that WF is the dog in this situation (that trend says nothing about fav or dog) and the fact that WF is a very strong dog team...i have a hard time seeing how this situation with revenge for FSU can overcome that system play.
Good luck....
Solid points buddy.. Thanks.
Hey there IMG. I am with you on UNLV +11.5 and Nebraska -4. I also like Northwestern -7, you have them in a teaser.
Just one I will be against you on, and that is Connecticut, as I will be on Virginia.
Good luck with your plays.
Looker what you doing up so late bro?
Fell asleep around 8PM to about 1:30AM. I will be headed back to bed in about 20 minutes.
I'm on drugs thats why I'm up. Had some friends come over and they made me do it. Peer pressure.
I do like your TCU play IMG. However, I will be against you on your IL. play.
BOL with you entire slate this week.
GV,
You know that I'm all over Illinois with you this week man! Plain and simple, the Illini are the better team and I really don't see Iowa turning it around after 2 horrible outings the last 2 weeks! Like your TCU play a lot and your play on Cal! Let's make some coin this week man!
whazzzzz up im,
I gotta say, you got 1 nasty lookin card goin this Sat.....really like your plays man. I'm jealous on that 14.5 you got w/SDST....I snoozed so I won't play it anything under that though.
I'm probably gonna pull the trigger on WIS+7, lotta pts for a decent team, even though everyone is so down on em.
I just took BC, but @-13.5....., oh well....we shall see.
Already stated, but I just don't like that ILL/IOWA game at all, I think it wreaks, but GL cause I ain't touchin it.
GoCAL
I got a good feeling you're gonna KALLLLEEEEEEEENNNNNNNN up this week man!!!
I strongly disagree with your characterization of the UW football team. Wisconsin is not a decent team at all and are looking at 4 Big Ten losses. In fact, Penn State falls into some very strong systems that play against struggling defensive teams like UW and also some sytems that play on strong home defensive units (like PSU's). I was going to take PSU but the line has crept up too much now and have enough money tied up this weekend. But certainly PSU would be a strong play I would consider (along with Buffalo and UNLV) this weekend.
GL tomorrow with FSU imgv...
Adding:
1* ML Parlay -114
Michigan
Texas Tech
GL Imgv. I'm on board with Whisky and Illinois. I think Whisky wins out right.
I think Wisky wins outright too bud. Also think UNLV might shock the world too.
It's almost like you guys haven't even watched Wisconsin play this year????? UW win outright? They are the most overrated team in the country...or the worst team that is ranked. What has UW shown you that makes you think they can win this game on the road? UW is extraordinarily overrated and as of now, public opinion has yet to catch on. By next week, PSU will be ranked, and UW will be out of the rankings.
Anyway, the line has been rising on PSU despite the fact that nearly 7 out of every 10 bets are on UW ATS which is a horrible sign since generally betting publics back favorites at extraordinary rates and not the other way around where they back the underdog. UW falls into some miserable play against systems this week. I'll share some:
Play Against - Road underdogs (WISCONSIN) - after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a win by 17 or more points. (42-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.8%, +28.8 units. Rating = 4*)
Play Against - A road team (WISCONSIN) - after allowing 5.5 or more rushing yards/attempt in 2 straight games. (78-37 over the last 10 seasons.) (67.8%, +37.3 units. Rating = 3*)
Play Against - A road team (WISCONSIN) - after allowing 17 points or more in the first half in 2 straight games against opponent after a win by 17 or more points. (45-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.3%, +29.6 units. Rating = 3*)
Play On - Home favorites (PENN ST) - after allowing 225 or less total yards in their previous game against opponent after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game.
(66-29 since 1992.) (69.5%, +34.1 units. Rating = 3*)
Play On - A home team (PENN ST) - with an excellent rushing D - allowing 2.75 or less rushing yds/carry, after outrushing opponent by 200 or more yards last game. (79-41 since 1992.) (65.8%, +33.9 units. Rating = 2*)
There is not a single system I have that is showing UW as a play....some trends yes, but not a single system play. Sure, maybe they cover the spread but I would be shocked if they won this game.
Good luck...
I am with you one SJSU ,TCU, and CAL. Hope these cash for us.
GL on the rest as well.
I think PSU is overrated too. You haven't seen me bet Wisconsin and you can ask pags, him and I agreed about the Badgers being a fraud.
I think PSU is a fraud too. Not too much difference here IMO.
Wisconsin is a very solid team. Overrated why? Because they have not blow anybody out. They haven't been blown out either. They could very easily be undefeated. 7 points is way too many in my opinion.
27-20 Whisky pulls it out
Exactly Wisconsin has been in every game this season.
ADDING:
1* Pac-10 ML PARLAY (-148)
Oregon
USC
Cal
Arizona State
Good luck and thank you to everyone who posted here. May you have a profitable day.
ADDING:
0.5* Cal -7.5 +100
Just endured my worst loss of the season..
I will update the record late tonight.
I'm leaving the house before I break this computer.
imgv,
Mixed bag for you today. Go out and have a nice adult beverage...the sun will come up tomorrow...and Sunday will be another opportunity to excel!!
imgv,
clear your head bro and we will talk more tomorrow...
7-10 -6.13 Units
Haven't had many things go my way lately.
YTD: 44-35 +5.51 Units
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